All signal, no noise
All signal, no noise
All signal, no noise
Latest insights
Rate decisions in Poland and Czechia take focus next week.
May-01 14:34MNI interviews ex-CEA head Glenn Hubbard on Warsh Fed, monetary policy.
May-01 14:23MNI speaks to the former deputy director of the National Economic Council about the upcoming Warsh Fed.
May-01 14:11Austria, Germany, Spain, France and Belgium will all look to issue in the upcoming week.
May-01 12:45Former Central Bank of Brazil deputy governor for monetary policy Reinaldo Le Grazie talks to MNI in an interview.
May-01 11:21
MNI US Macro Weekly: The FOMC Has Its Independence Day

MNI US Macro Weekly: The FOMC Has Its Independence Day
Key Events
Calendar
Open CalendarLink to the pagemyMNIhttps://my.mnimarkets.com/dashboard?widget=/events/key-events-calendarHSC on myMNILink to the pageMore CalendarsLink to the page
MNI US Macro Weekly: The FOMC Has Its Independence Day

MNI US Macro Weekly: The FOMC Has Its Independence Day
Key Events
Calendar
Open CalendarLink to the pagemyMNIhttps://my.mnimarkets.com/dashboard?widget=/events/key-events-calendarHSC on myMNILink to the pageMore CalendarsLink to the pageLatest insights
Rate decisions in Poland and Czechia take focus next week.
May-01 14:34MNI interviews ex-CEA head Glenn Hubbard on Warsh Fed, monetary policy.
May-01 14:23MNI speaks to the former deputy director of the National Economic Council about the upcoming Warsh Fed.
May-01 14:11Austria, Germany, Spain, France and Belgium will all look to issue in the upcoming week.
May-01 12:45Former Central Bank of Brazil deputy governor for monetary policy Reinaldo Le Grazie talks to MNI in an interview.
May-01 11:21Newsletter
MNI EUROPEAN OPEN: US to Start Guiding Ships Through Straits
May-04 05:30MNI ASIA OPEN: Trump Unlikely to Accept Iran Peace Proposal
May-03 20:10MNI Global Week Ahead - DM CBs, US Refunding and NFP In Focus
May-03 19:45MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Sentiment Improved on Crude Decline
May-01 19:46MNI Global Week Ahead - DM CBs, US Refunding and NFP In Focus
May-01 17:02MNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - ISM, Iran Watched Carefully
May-01 11:04MNI US OPEN - BoJ Accounts Estimate Y5.4trl Bought Thursday
May-01 09:35MNI DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - JPY Intervention Sets S/T Top
May-01 07:38MNI Technical Analysis
Monitoring A Multi-Year Range In WTI

FI Market Analysis
Read moreFI Market AnalysisA weekly wrap of some of the key data outcomes/macro themes for the Asia Pac region.
May 01, 2026 05:57The ECB unanimously held rates today but with an in-depth discussion on a potential rate hike; June still heavily priced
April 30, 2026 05:38Eurozone April headline HICP printed marginally above consensus at 3.04% Y/Y
April 30, 2026 04:11Italy will hold the non-competitive 5/10-year BTP / CCTeu auction today and Belgium will hold its ordinary second round.
April 30, 2026 05:40FX Market Analysis
Read moreFX Market AnalysisThe BOJ held rates at 0.75% as expected, but the tone was more hawkish signalling a shift toward gradual tightening.
April 30, 2026 12:56(Corrects PDF Link) Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Fed_Review_Apr2026_5857d4f02e.pdf EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: * The communications following Jerome Powell's final FOMC meeting as Fed Chair had two major undercurrents. * The first was a vocal assertion of policy independence from political influence, in anticipation of the arrival of Kevin Warsh as Chair by the next meeting in June. * The second - and related - undercurrent was that the door to further rate cuts appears to be closing, with current FOMC members looking increasingly reluctant to support a continuation of the easing cycle regardless of the preferences of the incoming Chair. * Rates markets concluded the meeting pricing in slightly more tightening. But appropriately given Powell's continued emphasis on seeing more data before making future decisions, most of this hawkish repricing through the meeting could probably be attributed to rising oil prices on developments in the US-Iran war. See PDF report for: * MNI View * Market Reaction * MNI Instant Answers * Press Conference Transcript * FOMC Meeting Links * Policy Statement Changes * MNI Policy - Fed Watch
April 29, 2026 08:49Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/BOC_Review_Apr2026_39e0f7d852.pdf EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: * The communications following Jerome Powell's final FOMC meeting as Fed Chair had two major undercurrents. * The first was a vocal assertion of policy independence from political influence, in anticipation of the arrival of Kevin Warsh as Chair by the next meeting in June. * The second - and related - undercurrent was that the door to further rate cuts appears to be closing, with current FOMC members looking increasingly reluctant to support a continuation of the easing cycle regardless of the preferences of the incoming Chair. * Rates markets concluded the meeting pricing in slightly more tightening. But appropriately given Powell's continued emphasis on seeing more data before making future decisions, most of this hawkish repricing through the meeting could probably be attributed to rising oil prices on developments in the US-Iran war. See PDF report for: * MNI View * Market Reaction * MNI Instant Answers * Press Conference Transcript * FOMC Meeting Links * Policy Statement Changes * MNI Policy - Fed Watch
April 29, 2026 08:43Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/BOC_Review_Apr2026_f377ac7b0f.pdf EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Bank of Canada's expected overnight rate hold at 2.25% at the April meeting was accompanied by a relatively neutral near-term outlook that highlighted somewhat lopsided two-way risks for rates dependent on the evolution of major geopolitical risks in the coming months. * The BOC is wary about the Middle East war's medium-term impact on overall price pressures, though no more than might have been expected given that it explicitly says it will "look through" near-term energy inflation and has updated its CPI forecasts accordingly. Governing Council also remains concerned about downside risks to growth stemming from upcoming US trade negotiations. * But with rates already at the bottom end of the neutral range (which was unchanged at 2.25-3.25% in its annual update), it's evident that potential upside in rates (BOC: "consecutive increases") is greater than the downside at this juncture ("may need tocut further"). For now, as Macklem said, "Maintaining the policy rate today where it is was the right thing to do for today". * Against this backdrop, the market's overall bias in seeing the next move as a hike stayed intact. Following the meeting, OIS pricing was relatively little changed through end-year, still seeing between 1 and 2 overnight rate hikes of 25bp through the December decision, though there was a slight upward bump in pricing for the 3 meetings between July and December. See PDF report for: * MNI View * MNI Instant Answers * Press Conference Transcript * Monetary Policy Report * BOC Meeting Links * Policy Statement Changes
April 29, 2026 03:57





