All signal, no noise

All signal, no noise

All signal, no noise

Latest insights

Both Polish and Turkish inflation data set to cross

Mar-27 16:32

EM risk sentiment turned more positive, but tentative.

Mar-27 13:57

Belgian Debt Agency Director Jean Deboutte speaks to MNI in an interview.

Mar-27 13:27

Economist Pawel Adrjan, responsible for the Indeed Wage Tracker, speaks about Eurozone wage growth.

Mar-27 12:24

The SARB left interest rates unchanged and pledged to maintain a prudent posture in addressing the energy crisis.

Mar-27 11:23

Banxico’s governing board cut the overnight rate by 25bp to 6.75%, in a split 3-2 decision.

Mar-27 10:34

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FI Market Analysis

The release will be the first to reflect price reactions to the Iran conflict.

March 26, 2026 03:28

The release will be the first to reflect price reactions to the Iran conflict.

March 26, 2026 03:19

Italy will hold the supplementary round of BTP-ST / BTPei auction and Belgium its ordinary non-competitive round today.

March 26, 2026 06:52

Download Full Document Here: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_P25032026_c6565cf429.pdf EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * Pre-existing net structural longs in European bond futures have disappeared in the post-Mar/Jun roll period that has coincided with the outbreak of war in the Middle East. * Vs our last update going into the Mar 6 Eurex roll deadline, there are now no contracts in structural "long" territory, vs 3 prior. * Indeed, now 6 of 7 contracts are short, with Gilt the exception. * While we caution that rolls may have distorted the signal, we note the most recent week of trade has seen mostly long reduction and short-setting. * GERMANY: German positioning has moved entirely short: Schatz and Bobl "very short" and Bund and Buxl merely "short". Pre-Eurex rolls, Bobl and Schatz had been long. The latest week saw short-setting in Schatz and Bund and long reduction in Bobl, with Buxl set apart by long-setting. * OAT: OAT structural positioning remains short, unchanged from pre-roll. The latest week's trade was indicative of long reduction. * GILT: Gilt structural "flat" positioning is likewise not much changed from February (though the Gilt roll preceded Eurex's by about a week). The latest week saw some long reduction. * BTP: BTP structural positioning is currently short, in stark contrast to its long-standing long positioning prior to March. Trade indicative of short-setting was seen last week.

March 25, 2026 03:29

FX Market Analysis

Download Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Global_Tech_Trend_Monitor_Mar26_c2ce0a9fce.pdf EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: * We update our Global Tech Trend Monitor to incorporate sharp swings in asset prices since the onset of the Iran War * Notably, while the short-term trend in WTI crude futures is up, markets have rarely been able to sustain a breach above a multi-decade range * AUDJPY on cusp of possible major reversal, with the August 1990 high of 122.70 a particular level of note

March 25, 2026 01:51

Norges Bank is expected to hold the deposit rate at 4.00%, but the overall tone of the meeting is likely to be hawkish.

March 24, 2026 02:20

The last pre-conflict UK CPI print is expected to see headline CPI remain around 3.0%Y/Y; we look at drivers and details

March 24, 2026 02:17

We look at the COBRA meeting today and look ahead to this week's BOE speakers and UK data (inc CPI and flash PMIs).

March 23, 2026 03:44