All signal, no noise

All signal, no noise

All signal, no noise

Latest insights

China is taking efforts to lower electricity costs from rising AI demand.

Apr-02 09:26

Chinese economists and advisors look at tax reform and local government finances.

Apr-02 07:42

The RBNZ MPC will deliver its next OCR call on Wednesday.

Apr-02 07:05

A weekly wrap of some of the key macro themes/data outcomes for the Asia Pac region

Apr-02 05:53

Manoel Carlos Pires, former secretary of economic policy at the Ministry of Finance, talks to MNI in an interview.

Apr-01 17:05

MNI interviews ISM manufacturing chair on sector outlook amid energy shock.

Apr-01 16:59

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FI Market Analysis

Germany will hold a 7-year Bund auction today while Ireland will announce its Q2 funding intentions.

April 01, 2026 05:40

Italy will conclude primary auction issuance for this week; the Netherlands will also hold its non-competitive round.

March 31, 2026 05:59

Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/US_macro_weekly_260327_2a719950e3.pdf Executive Summary * Almost a month in, the macro consequences of the war in the Middle East remain challenging to weigh for market participants and Fed officials alike. Incoming data, while obviously stale to at least some degree, show continued inflation pressures and a nascent uptick in consumer price expectations, but activity appeared to remain relatively robust through March. * Activity data showed something of a split, with manufacturing surveys (flash PMIs and regional Feds) remaining resilient while services softened more noticeably, as higher energy costs linked to the Middle East conflict pushed price pressures higher. * Indeed, inflation readings largely firmed, led by a surge in February import prices-especially capital goods and industrial supplies- even before the Mideast shock, while consumer surveys showed a meaningful jump in shortterm inflation expectations but relatively stable longerterm expectations. * But the labor market remains mostly resilient, with jobless claims staying very low and continuing claims improving further, even as payroll indicators continue to point to only modest underlying job growth. * Growth tracking cooled slightly but stayed solid, as GDPNow was trimmed on construction weakness, but with firm realtime retail sales indicators and a pickup in the Dallas Fed's Weekly Economic Index. * Markets and policymakers grappled with wardriven uncertainty, as marketimplied Fed policy rates swung sharply during the week, while Fedspeak emphasized patience, higher inflation risks from energy prices, and a stillfragile labor market constraining hawkish followthrough. * This week has ranged from pricing in almost 25bp of Fed hikes to end-2026 on Monday shortly before President Trump's post on a five-day pause in strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure to pricing out any hikes later that day. Since then, despite another announced pause in strikes, oil prices have surged and Friday briefly saw 20bp of hikes priced again only to then heavily pare this increase to just 5bp. * Looking ahead, next week brings key tests of the outlook with March nonfarm payrolls, ISM manufacturing, retail sales, JOLTS, and consumer confidence all due, along with an appearance by Fed Chair Powell.

March 27, 2026 07:55

Just Germany and France are scheduled to hold auctions in the upcoming week as issuance slows down ahead of Easter.

March 27, 2026 05:19

FX Market Analysis

Norges Bank held the policy rate at 4.00% but took an unambiguously hawkish turn in its communications

March 26, 2026 04:12

The release will be the first to reflect price reactions to the Iran conflict.

March 26, 2026 03:28

The release will be the first to reflect price reactions to the Iran conflict.

March 26, 2026 03:19

Download Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/Global_Tech_Trend_Monitor_Mar26_c2ce0a9fce.pdf EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: * We update our Global Tech Trend Monitor to incorporate sharp swings in asset prices since the onset of the Iran War * Notably, while the short-term trend in WTI crude futures is up, markets have rarely been able to sustain a breach above a multi-decade range * AUDJPY on cusp of possible major reversal, with the August 1990 high of 122.70 a particular level of note

March 25, 2026 01:51