MNI: China Would Consider More EU Export Cap Requests-Advisors
MNI: China Would Consider More EU Export Cap Requests-Advisors
MNI INTERVIEW: Chinese Automakers Eye Gradual EU Production
MNI INTERVIEW: Chinese Automakers Eye Gradual EU Production
Triangle Pattern In Treasuries Reinforces A M/T Bearish Theme
Triangle Pattern In Treasuries Reinforces A M/T Bearish Theme
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MNI: China Would Consider More EU Export Cap Requests-Advisors
MNI INTERVIEW: Chinese Automakers Eye Gradual EU Production
MNI INTERVIEW: Chinese Automakers Eye Gradual EU Production
Triangle Pattern In Treasuries Reinforces A M/T Bearish Theme
Triangle Pattern In Treasuries Reinforces A M/T Bearish Theme
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MNI: US CBO Forecast To Account For Productivity Rise - Swagel
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Triangle Pattern In Treasuries Reinforces A M/T Bearish Theme
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Germany will return to the market today with a 10-year Bund auction while Italy will hold a non-competitive round.
October 28, 2026 06:40BOJ is widely expected to leave its policy rate unchanged at 1.25% at its 29–30 October meeting
October 28, 2026 05:22The ECB is expected to hold this week but language on a trade-off between higher energy prices and yields will be key
October 27, 2026 06:04Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/BOC_Preview_Oct2026_b92f886087.pdf EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * The Bank of Canada is widely though not unanimously (80% OIS-implied) anticipated to hike the overnight rate by 25bp to 2.50% at its October meeting. * As of mid-October, a hike looked a slightly more distant prospect, with core inflation remaining tame and the US-Canada trade dispute having flared up again. But implied near-term rate hike probabilities have increased as policymakers have suggested rising discomfort with waiting to see whether higher energy prices bleed into broader inflationary pressures. * Most notably, Gov Macklem said in mid-October that high energy prices are boosting inflation risks, leaving the bank prepared to raise rates at its upcoming meeting. * The new set of Monetary Policy Report projections will show higher inflation and growth ahead, helping justify the decision to move rates away from the low end of the Bank's neutral range (2.25-3.25%). * Should the BOC hike, attention will be on any guidance on future increases. It would be a surprise if they didn't keep the door wide open to a follow-up hike in December or January.
October 27, 2026 02:49FX Market Analysis
FX Market AnalysisThe ECB is expected to hold this week but language on a trade-off between higher energy prices and yields will be key
October 27, 2026 06:04Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/BOC_Preview_Oct2026_b92f886087.pdf EXECUTIVE SUMMARY * The Bank of Canada is widely though not unanimously (80% OIS-implied) anticipated to hike the overnight rate by 25bp to 2.50% at its October meeting. * As of mid-October, a hike looked a slightly more distant prospect, with core inflation remaining tame and the US-Canada trade dispute having flared up again. But implied near-term rate hike probabilities have increased as policymakers have suggested rising discomfort with waiting to see whether higher energy prices bleed into broader inflationary pressures. * Most notably, Gov Macklem said in mid-October that high energy prices are boosting inflation risks, leaving the bank prepared to raise rates at its upcoming meeting. * The new set of Monetary Policy Report projections will show higher inflation and growth ahead, helping justify the decision to move rates away from the low end of the Bank's neutral range (2.25-3.25%). * Should the BOC hike, attention will be on any guidance on future increases. It would be a surprise if they didn't keep the door wide open to a follow-up hike in December or January.
October 27, 2026 02:49We see a 40% probability of a 2027 UK election and expect a larger reduction in long-dated gilt issuance than consensus
October 27, 2026 11:42Download Full RBNZ Preview Here: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_RBNZ_Preview_October_2026_93b60a257e.pdf EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: * The RBNZ is widely expected to hike rates 25bp to 3.0% when it announces its decision on 28 October while maintaining its tightening bias. * The inflation outlook has deteriorated with upside risks from fuel and higher imported price pressures likely to be felt well into 2027. Inflation persistence and the risk to expectations will remain a major concern. * Given updated staff forecasts won't be published until the 9 December decision, the RBNZ is likely to keep its options open for upcoming meetings. * RBNZ-dated OIS pricing shows 23bps of tightening priced for tomorrow, while February 2027 and August 2027 assign 59bps and 107bps, respectively.
October 27, 2026 12:26
