Real-time insight of emerging markets in CEMEA, Asia and LatAm region.
Bloomberg reporting that South Africa has demarched the US ambassador to Pretoria over his recent criticism of the country. "The Department of International Relations and Cooperation conveyed the diplomatic protest to Leo Brent Bozell on Wednesday," the piece notes. * TimesLive had reported earlier in the week that the ambassador-designate, Leo Brent Bozell, warned on Tuesday that Trump is running out of patience with Pretoria over its failure to address Washington's demands for changes to its domestic and foreign policies. * Bozell also criticised a Constitutional Court ruling last year that found the anti-apartheid Kill the Boer chant isn't hate speech, though he later clarified that while it's his personal view that the chant is hate speech, "the US government respects the independence and findings of South Africa's judiciary." * The step from South Africa marks an escalation of tensions with the US. President Donald Trump has accused South Africa of subjecting White farmers to a genocide and seizing their land, and criticised its relations with Iran and Hamas.
Mar-11 15:45Download Full Report Here: https://media.marketnews.com/MNI_BCRP_Preview_Mar_2026_1db8688fba.pdf Executive Summary * The BCRP is widely expected to leave its benchmark reference rate unchanged at 4.25% for a sixth consecutive meeting in March after CPI inflation surprised to the upside last month. * With inflation now close to the BCRP's 2% target and the economy still growing around its potential rate, there is little urgency to cut rates further at this juncture. * In addition, the outbreak of the conflict in the middle east and subsequent surge in oil prices warrants a cautious stance for now.
Mar-11 15:30The Governor defends the legality of 'Polish SAFE 0%', which would use unrealised profits on gold reserves, but admits that the NBP will not launch the programme, because parties to the talks could not reach agreement. This comes on the heels of his meeting with President Karol Nawrocki and Prime Minister Donald Tusk. * The Governor now talks about the programme in hypothetical terms, discusses what the central bank 'would have' done. He accuses his interlocutors (presumably Prime Minister Tusk, his government and certain media outlets) of negotiating in bad faith, says that his proposals were dismissed before any serious discussion. * The Governor says that the proposed operations would not breach the law, as the NBP's Management Board can manage reserves autonomously. He says that the transactions would not deplete reserves. He clarifies that the central bank would be selling gold in London for dollars, effectively converting gold reserves into dollar reserves. * Governor Glapiski says that there is a unique opportunity to introduce the proposed scheme, because the current favourable circumstances (aggressive gold purchases combined with sharp appreciation of the yellow metal) are unlikely to materialise again in foreseeable future. * The Governor says that 'Polish SAFE 0%' would have 'no negative side effects' and would allow the central bank to generate the required amount of funds for national defence every year. He says that technical work is completed and the NBP is ready to launch the programme at any point, if it gets a green light from the government. * Governor Glapiski says that pulled Prime Minister Tusk aside after yesterday's meeting and they agreed that NBP experts will hold further talks with teams from the Finance Ministry and Defence Ministry. Still, throughout his presser he remained very pessimistic about the prospect of agreement ('there is zero interest, so we will not start anything'). * Governor Glapiski warns that Poland is very close to a zone of active military conflict and the frontline may soon move closer to the border, hence the urgent need to ramp up military spending.
Mar-11 15:11Governor Glapiski says that while the NBP's aggressive gold purchases were driven by geopolitical concerns, the side effect of the accumulation of the yellow metal was generating hefty unrealised profit to the tune of PLN197bn. He explains that without any action, this unrealised profit does not bring any benefit to the society, but suggests that there is little chance of the idea he proposed alongside President Karol Nawrocki coming to fruition. * The Governor says that building a powerful army is a necessary condition of the existence of the Polish state over the long term. He says that 'the world is showing its ugly face' and the situation is unlikely to change within the next 10 years. * Governor Glapiski says that considering this context, and the unrealised profits on gold holdings achieved thanks to the competent work of NBP's dealers, there is an imperative to use these profits to fund national defence. * The Governor sounds downbeat on the prospect of reaching political consensus on the matter. He drops several such hints. He says that 'nothing will probably come out' of it and that his relations with the government were good enough up until this day.
Mar-11 14:47The BCRP is widely expected to leave its benchmark reference rate unchanged at 4.25% for a sixth consecutive meeting.
March 11, 2026 15:13The CBRT is widely expected to keep the one-week repo rate unchanged at 37%.
March 10, 2026 11:40There is limited pressure on the BNM to adjust rates given economic resilience.
March 04, 2026 00:20The Iran conflict raised uncertanty around the outcome of the NBP's policy meeting expected to result in a 25bp cut.
March 03, 2026 12:20Mexico and Brazil February CPI inflation and the BCRP rate decision are the main focuses across Latam.
Mar-06 17:04CPI inflation data in Hungary and Poland and the CBRT rate decision highlight next week's calendar.
Mar-06 15:46Brazil Q4 GDP and Chile and Colombia February CPI inflation are the main focuses across Latam next week.
Feb-27 17:17The NBP rate decision and Turkey CPI inflation data provide the highlights across the region next week.
Feb-27 15:34Amid confused signalling on the war in Iran, MNI assesses factors pushing towards a short or long-term conflict
March 10, 2026 16:48President Nawrocki and NBP Governor Glapiński announced a proposed alternative to the EU's loans-for-weapons scheme.
March 05, 2026 12:30We look at the market and political implications of the Spring Statement and expectations for the FY26/27 gilt remit.
March 02, 2026 07:04MNI's Political Risk team outlines the major political events scheduled throughout the year in 2026
December 31, 2025 14:42PM Takaichi looks to secure a majority for the LDP in 8 Feb election to ease passage of her fiscal stimulus agenda
Feb-05 15:36Election sets up a 3-way contest between progressives, populists, and conservatives that will influence policy direction
Feb-04 16:51First round election on 16 November could set up another far-left vs. far-right contest for the presidency
Nov-13 13:03Centrist parties look set to make gains at expense of populists, lengthy coalition negotiations expected after election.
Oct-28 16:17