The trend structure in Schatz futures remains bearish and short-term gains appear corrective. Last week’s move down delivered a fresh cycle low, confirming a resumption of the downtrend. This also maintains the bearish price sequence of lower lows and lower highs. Sights are on 106.907 next, a Fibonacci projection, ahead of the 106.900 handle. On the upside, initial resistance is at 107.050, the Aug 25 and Sep 2 low.
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Last week, Bobl futures traded through resistance at the 50-day EMA, currently at 117.466. The EMA remains intact for now, a clear break of it would undermine the recent bearish threat and instead signal scope for a climb towards the next important short-term resistance at 117.710, the Aug 5 high. Key support and the bear trigger has been defined at 116.950, the Aug 15 low. Clearance of this level would resume the downtrend.
| Date | UK | Period | Event |
| 03-Sep | 0830 | --- | BOE Mann at Signum's London Westminster Day roundtable |
| 03-Sep | 0915 | --- | BOE Breeden at Money and Payments Conference |
| 03-Sep | 0930 | Aug | S&P Global Services / Composite PMI (f) |
| 03-Sep | 1415 | --- | BOE at TSC: Bailey, Greene, Lombardelli, Taylor |
| 04-Sep | 0930 | Aug | S&P Construction PMI / BOE Decision Maker Panel data |
| 05-Sep | 0700 | Jul | Retail Sales |
| 08-Sep | 0001 | --- | KPMG / REC Report on Jobs |
| 09-Sep | 0001 | Aug | BRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor |
| 12-Sep | 0700 | Jul | GDP / Services / Production / Trade / Construction |
| 12-Sep | 0930 | Aug | Bank of England/Ipsos Inflation Attitudes Survey |
| 16-Sep | 0700 | Aug | Labour Market Survey |
| 17-Sep | 0700 | --- | Consumer inflation report |
| 18-Sep | 1200 | --- | Bank Of England Interest Rate |
| 19-Sep | 0001 | Sep | Gfk Monthly Consumer Confidence |
| 19-Sep | 0700 | Aug | Public Sector Finances / Retail Sales |
| 23-Sep | 0930 | Sep | S&P Manuf / Services / Comp PMIs (p) |
| 24-Sep | 0001 | Aug | Brightmine pay deals for whole economy |
| 29-Sep | 0930 | Aug | BOE Lending to Individuals / M4 |