Yesterday's extension in Bund futures strengthens the current bear theme. Note that the move down that started on Oct 17 still appears corrective and has allowed an overbought trend condition to unwind. However, price has pierced a key support at 129.14, the 50-day EMA. A clear break of this EMA would signal scope for a deeper retracement. The next support is 128.92, a Fibonacci retracement. First important resistance is 129.73, Oct 28 high.
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The trend in EURJPY remains bullish and Monday’s strong start to this week’s session reinforces current conditions. The cross has cleared resistance at 175.13, the Sep 29 high, to confirm a resumption of the primary uptrend. This maintains the bullish sequence of higher highs and higher lows and opens the 177.00 handle next. On the downside, key short-term support has been defined at 172.27, the Oct 2 low.
A bullish theme remains intact in USDJPY following Monday's strong start to the week. Yesterday’s rally resulted in a breach of resistance at 149.96, the Sep 26 high and a key short-term resistance. This paves the way for a test of the key medium-term resistance at 150.92, the Aug 1 high. A break of this hurdle would confirm a resumption of the bull leg that started Apr 22. Monday’s intraday low at 149.05 is first support.