Bund futures have rallied sharply higher today and this has resulted in a break of resistance at 128.87, the Aug 28 high and short-term bull trigger. The climb undermines a recent bearish theme and highlights a stronger reversal. Price has moved through the 129.00 handle, signalling scope for a climb towards 129.50, the Aug 5 high. Key support and the bear trigger has been defined at 127.61, the Sep 3 low.
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Underlying SOFR futures paring losses, White pack mostly steady now. In turn, projected rate cut pricing gaining vs. morning (*) levels: Sep'25 at -23.4bp (-22.6bp), Oct'25 at -38.9bp (-38.4bp), Dec'25 at -58.8bp (-58.3bp), Jan'26 at -70.4bp (-68.9bp).
President Donald Trump has signed an Executive Order imposing an additional 25% tariff on India in response to its continued purchase of Russian oil. Full White House statement here.