SCHATZ TECHS: (Z5) Bear Theme Remains Intact

Nov-26 06:29

* RES 4: 107.175 High Oct 24 * RES 3: 107.095 High Oct 28 / 31 * RES 2: 107.057 50-day EMA * RES 1: ...

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Oct-27 06:23
DateTimePeriodEvent
27-Oct1100OctCBI Distributive Trades
28-Oct0001OctBRC Monthly Shop Price Index
29-Oct0001OctBrightmine pay deals for whole economy
29-Oct0930SepBOE Lending to Individuals / M4
31-Oct0930---Blue Book / Pink Book
03-Nov0930OctS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Final)
04-Nov1140---BOE Breeden at International Banking Conference
05-Nov0930OctS&P Global Services/Composite PMI (Final)
06-Nov0930OctS&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI
06-Nov1200---Bank Of England Interest Rate
06-Nov1230---Bank Of England Press Conference
06-Nov1400OctDecision Maker Panel Data
07-Nov1110---BOE Saporta At ECB Money Market Conference
07-Nov1215---BOE Pill At National Agency Briefing

EURUSD TECHS: Monitoring Support

Oct-27 06:20
  • RES 4: 1.1919 High Sep 17 and a bull trigger
  • RES 3: 1.1820 High Sep 23
  • RES 2: 1.1775 61.8% retracement of the Sep 17 - Oct 9 bear leg 
  • RES 1: 1.1662/1728 50-day EMA / High Oct 17 and key resistance 
  • PRICE: 1.1628 @ 06:19 BST Oct 27
  • SUP 1: 1.1542 Low Oct 9 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 1.1516 76.4% retracement of the Aug 1 - Sep 17 bull leg 
  • SUP 3: 1.1392 Low Aug 1 and bear trigger 
  • SUP 4: 1.1313 Low May 30

EURUSD continues to trade above support at 1.1542, the Oct 9 low. A break of this level is required to cancel a recent bullish signal and this would confirm a resumption of the bear cycle that started on Sep 17. A breach would open 1.1516, a Fibonacci retracement, and expose key support at 1.1392, the Aug 1 low. Price needs to trade above 1.1728, the Oct 17 high, to reinstate a bull theme.

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Oct-27 06:18
DateTimeCountryEvent
27-Oct0900EUM3 / Consumer Expectations Survey
27-Oct0900DEIFO Business Climate Index
27-Oct0915EUECB Elderson Keynote on Banking Governance
28-Oct0700DEGFK Consumer Climate
28-Oct0900ITISTAT Consumer/Business Confidence
28-Oct0900EUECB Bank Lending Survey
29-Oct0800ESGDP (p)
29-Oct1100ITPPI
30-Oct0630FRGDP (p) / Consumer Spending
30-Oct0800ESHICP (p)
30-Oct0855DEUnemployment
30-Oct0900DEGDP (p) / State-level CPI
30-Oct0900ITGDP (p)
30-Oct1000EUESI / Unemployment / Flash GDP
30-Oct1300DEGermany HICP (p)
30-Oct1315EUECB Decision
30-Oct1345EUECB Press Conference
30-Oct1515EUECB Lagarde Presents Rate Decision on ECB Podcast