France sold E7.8bln of BTFs on Monday, leaving total bill issuance for the week well below last week...
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A short-term bear cycle in Schatz futures remains intact and the contract is trading closer to its latest lows. Recent weakness paves the way for an extension towards 106.920, the Sep 25 low and a key support. Clearance of this level would strengthen a bear theme. Initial firm resistance to watch is 107.032, the 20-day EMA. Resistance at the 50-day EMA is at 107.070. The area between the two averages represents a key short-term resistance zone.
Key short-term resistance in GBPUSD is seen at the 20-day EMA, at 1.3198. It has been pierced, a clear break of it would signal scope for a stronger corrective cycle and expose the 50-day EMA, at 1.3297. Moving average studies remain in a bear-mode condition and continue to highlight a dominant downtrend. A reversal would signal the end of the correction and a resumption of the bear leg. The bear trigger is 1.3010, the Nov 4 and 5 low.
The short-term trend condition in Bobl futures remains bearish and a fresh cycle low this week reinforces current conditions. Recent weakness resulted in a breach of 118.043, 61.8% of the Sep 25 - Oct 17 bull cycle. Note that 117.824, the 76.4% retracement, has been pierced. A continuation lower would open 117.630, the Oct 1 low. Initial firm resistance is seen at 118.114, the 50-day EMA.