EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: W/C 29 September

Sep-26 15:07

France, Greece and the EU are due to sell bills next week. We expect issuance to be E11.6bln in first round operations, down from E21.6bln this week.

  • On Monday afternoon, France will look to issue up to E7.9bln of 14/15/27/49-week BTFs: E2.6-3.0bln of the new 14-week Jan 7, 2026 BTF, E0.1-0.5bln of the 15-week Jan 14, 2026 BTF, E1.6-2.0bln of the 27-week Apr 9, 2026 BTF and E2.0-2.4bln of the 49-week Sep 9, 2026 BTF.
  • On Wednesday morning, Greece will look to come to the market with E500mln of the 13-week Jan 2, 2026 GTB.
  • Finall on Wednesday, the EU will look to sell up to E1.0bln of the 3-month Jan 9, 2026 EU-bill, up to E1.0bln of the 6-month Apr 10, 2025 EU-bill and up to E1.5bln of the new 12-month Oct 10, 2026 EU-bill.

Historical bullets

FOREX: EUR/AUD Breaks to New Daily Lows as AUD Benefits From Equity Strength

Aug-27 15:05

EUR/AUD breaking to new daily lows in recent trade (and through the WMR fix) - this puts the price clear of both the 50-dma at 1.7893 and likely avoids the formation of support at a possible uptrendline drawn off the February lows.

  • Worth noting today marks month-end value date given Aug31st falls on a Sunday, so could tie-in some month-end flow to recent moves.
  • Similarly, equities remain firm, helping aide AUD strength here: AUD/USD is back to flat, reversing the day's losses of ~0.4%.

ESM ISSUANCE: USD2bln WNG New 5-Year: Priced

Aug-27 14:58
  • USD2bln WNG of the new 3.75% 5-year Sep-30 ESM-Bond
  • Spread set earlier at SOFR MS+39 (SA 30/360) (guidance was SOFR+40 Area, IPT was MS+42 area, that was equiv. to CT5 + ~7.3bp)
  • Books closed in excess of $13.3bn excl. JLM interest
  • Reoffer 99.855 to yield 3.782%
  • Issuer: European Stability Mechanism (TICKER: ESM)
  • Issuer Ratings: Aaa (stable) (Moody's) / AAA (stable) (S&P) / AAA (stable) (Fitch)/ AAA (stable) (Scope)
  • Format: Registered Notes, Reg S (NSS) / 144A
  • Ranking: Senior, Unsecured, Unsubordinated
  • Listing: Luxembourg
  • Settlement: 4 September 2025 (T+6 (TARGET) / T+5 (NY))
  • Maturity Date: 4 September 2030 (5Y)
  • HR 101% vs CT5 (T 3 ⅞ 07/31/30 )
  • ISIN: Reg S: XS3171756128 / 144A: US29881WAG78
  • Coupon: 3.75%, Fixed, Semi-annual, 30/360, Following, Unadjusted
  • Bookrunners: CACIB(DM/B&D) / DB / JPM
From market source and Bloomberg.

The transaction comes ahead of a USD3bln redemption for the ESM in September. That line also had a 5-year maturity initially.

STIR: BLOCK: SOFR White Pack

Aug-27 14:41
  • 4,000 SOFR White packs (SFRU5-SFRM6) +0.000 at 1037:12ET - likely swap-tied sale with spds running wider in the short end