EU AUTOMOTIVE: Volkswagen: New Issue FV         

Sep-25 07:39

You are missing out on very valuable content.

(VW; Baa1/BBB+/A-neg) * MNI FV: MS+75a, MS+110a. * IPT: EUR Benchmark 4Y MS+115a, 7Y MS+155a (BBG)....

Historical bullets

RIKSBANK: Sees Probability of Lastingly High Inflation to be Low - Minutes

Aug-26 07:37

Riksbank minutes for the last rate decision shed some more light on the decision-making process: 

  • THEDEEN: I PERCEIVE THE PROBABILITY OF LASTINGLY HIGH INFLATION TO BE LOW, BUT HIGH INFLATION IS STILL A RISK, AS POSSIBLE FURTHER NEGATIVE SURPRISES COULD HAVE AN UNFAVOURABLE IMPACT ON THE CREDIBILITY OF THE INFLATION TARGET
  • JANSSON: INFLATION DOES NOT NEED TO BE EXACTLY AT TARGET FOR US TO DARE TO CUT THE INTEREST RATE ONE MORE TIME
  • SEIM: OUR ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE ELEVATED INFLATION IS LARGELY DUE TO TEMPORARY FACTORS AND WE EXPECT IT TO FALL BACK" - Reuters

Full RIksbank minutes found here: https://via.tt.se/ir-files/3236667/4020286/4375/Minutes%20of%20the%20monetary%20policy%20decision%20on%2019%20August%202025.pdf

 

BONDS: US Tsys and Gilt Roll pace

Aug-26 07:30

Treasury and Gilt Rolls, expect for the December expiry to be front Month in Gilt Today, Sept is still the most active, but over 80% of the volume is spread related.

PACE: 1st Notice for Gilt is the 28th, and 29th for Tsys:

  • WNA: 64%.
  • USA: 64%.
  • UXA: 72%.
  • TYA: 53%.
  • FVA: 57%.
  • TUA: 66%.
  • Gilt: 63% (As of Friday).

OAT: French 10yr Yield breaks above 3.50%

Aug-26 07:18
  • The French OAT is starting to drag Bund lower, The UK Gilts is also at play, as the UK returns from their Bank Holiday.
  • The French 10yr Yield has fully cleared the 3.50% level, highest since March.

Next stop, reference 121.60:

  • 3.550% = 121.39.
  • 3.631% = 120.61 (highest Yield print since Nov 2011).

(Chart source: MNI/Bloomberg Finace LP).

GFRN10 Index (France Govt Oats B 2025-08-26 08-14-36