BOBL TECHS: (U5) Bear Cycle Extends

Jul-11 05:23

* RES 4: 118.390 High Jun 13 and a key resistance * RES 3: 118.060 High Jun 20 * RES 2: 117.980 High...

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)

Jun-11 05:23
DateUKPeriodEvent
11-Jun0730----BOE Saporta Speech At Bank of Finland Conference
11-Jun1230----Chancellor Reeves presents Spending Review 
12-Jun0700AprGDP / Services / Production / Trade / Construction
13-Jun0001MayKPMG/REC Jobs Report
13-Jun0930MayBank of England/Ipsos Inflation Attitudes Survey
18-Jun0700MayConsumer inflation report
19-Jun1200----Bank Of England Interest Rate
20-Jun0001JunGfk Monthly Consumer Confidence
20-Jun0700MayPublic Sector Finances / Retail Sales
20-Jun1630Q3BOE to announce Q3 APF sales schedule
23-Jun0930JunS&P Global PMI flash
24-Jun1100JunCBI Industrial Trends
25-Jun0001JunBrightmine pay deals for whole economy

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)

Jun-11 05:18
DateTimeCountryEvent
11-Jun1030EUECB Lane At 2025 Government Borrowers Forum
11-Jun1300EUECB Cipollone On Digital Payments Panel
12-Jun1000EUECB Schnabel Visits "House of the Euro"
12-Jun1300EUECB de Guindos At Financial Integration Conference
12-Jun1320EUECB Schnabel At Financial Integration Conference
12-Jun1515EUECB Elderson At Senior Supervisors Conference
13-Jun0700DEHICP (f)
13-Jun0745FRHICP (f)
13-Jun0800ESHICP (f)
13-Jun1000EUIndustrial Production / Trade Balance
13-Jun1600EUECB Elderson At Senior Supervisor's Conference
16-Jun0900ITHICP (f)
16-Jun1130EUECB Cipollone At Osservatorio Banca Impresa Meeting
17-Jun1000DEZEW Current Expectations Index
18-Jun0830EUECB Elderson At SRB Legal Conference 2025
18-Jun0900EUEZ Current Account
18-Jun1000EUHICP (f)
18-Jun1600EUECB Lane At Macroprudential Conference

GBPUSD TECHS: Pullback Considered Corrective

Jun-11 05:14
  • RES 4: 1.3800 Round number resistance 
  • RES 3: 1.3757 1.618 proj of the Feb 28 - Apr 3 - 7 price swing
  • RES 2: 1.3681 1.500 proj of the Feb 28 - Apr 3 - 7 price swing
  • RES 1: 1.3616 High Jun 5    
  • PRICE: 1.3484 @ 16:13 BST Jun 11
  • SUP 1: 1.3466 20-day EMA
  • SUP 2: 1.3335/3306 Low May 20 / 50-day EMA
  • SUP 3: 1.3140 Low May 12 and key support
  • SUP 4: 1.3041 Low Apr 14

Trend signals in GBPUSD remain bullish and the latest pullback appears to be corrective. A fresh cycle high last week, confirmed a resumption of the uptrend and an extension of the price sequence of higher highs and higher lows. This opens 1.3681 next, a Fibonacci projection. Support at 1.3466, the 20-day EMA, has been breached. A clear break of it would suggest potential for a deeper correction and expose the 50-day EMA, at 1.3306.