BUNDS: Testing Immediate support
- Immediate support in Bund is right here at 130.73, the same Trendline in the Yield would see a test Towards 2.544%.
A clear continuation through that level opens to:
- 2.55% = 130.64.
- 2.60% = 130.12 (not traded above 2.60% since 26th May).
Note that Volumes are still on the low side, the only notable clips have been in the US, aside from the FV Block buyer, seen around 10k sold in TYU5, all cumulative volumes.
(Chart source: Bloomberg Finance LP/MNI).
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EURIBOR OPTIONS: ERZ5 98.375/98.625 Call Spread Lifted
ERZ5 98.375/98.625 call spread paper paid 5 on 5K.
GILT TECHS: (M5) Bear Cycle Extends
- RES 4: 93.00 Round number resistance
- RES 3: 92.53 High May 9
- RES 2: 92.26 50-day EMA
- RES 1: 90.88 Intraday high
- PRICE: 90.46 @ 13:17 BST May 21
- SUP 1: 90.39 Intraday low
- SUP 2: 89.99 Low Apr 9 and a key support
- SUP 3: 89.42 1.00 proj of the Apr 7 - 9 - May 2 price swing
- SUP 4: 89.00 Round number resistance
A bear cycle in Gilt futures remains in play and recent weakness strengthens a bearish theme. Support at 90.92, the 76.4% retracement of the Apr 9 - May 2 rally, has been cleared. This break paves the way for an extension towards 89.99, the Apr 9 low and the next key support. Resistance to watch is 92.26, the 50-day EMA. Clearance of this level would be bullish and signal a potential reversal.
US: MNI POLITICAL RISK - Johnson Eyes Vote On GOP Megabill Today
Download Full Report Here
- President Donald Trump will hold a bilateral meeting with South African President Cyril Ramaphosa today amid a diplomatic spat with the largest economy in Africa.
- House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) appears to have reached compromise agreements with House GOP conservatives and SALT Republicans that could unlock a vote on the ‘One Big Beautiful’ reconciliation bill as soon as today.
- The potential vote comes amid warnings from markets and analysts that the fiscal package will balloon US debt. We have a full rundown of how voting is likely to play out inside.
- The G7 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors' meeting gets underway in Canada today, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expected to hold sideline meetings with his counterparts from the UK and Japan.
- Secretary of State Marco Rubio is on Capitol Hill again for a second day of testimony on Trump’s fiscal year 2026 budget request. Rubio told a Senate panel yesterday that Russia has pledged to send the US their terms for a ceasefire with Ukraine.
- President Trump yesterday unveiled more details plans for his so-called “Golden Dome” missile defense shield, saying it will be completed by the end of his term.
- Oil prices jumped following a report from CNN that Israel is preparing for a potential strike on Iranian nuclear facilities.
- Poll of the Day: Trump’s approval is lagging on issues considered the most important by US voters.
Full Article: US DAILY BRIEF
