AUSSIE BONDS: Solid Absorption of May-28 Supply But With Less Demand Present

Jul-04 01:25

The latest round of ACGB May-28 supply sees the weighted average yield print 0.97bps through prevailing mids (per Yieldbroker), extending the recent trend of firm pricing at ACGB auctions.

  • However, the cover ratio dropped to 3.9550x from a robust 4.4250x at the previous outing.
  • As highlighted in the preview, the outright yield was 50bps lower than the previous auction and almost 100bps lower than the cycle peak in early November last year.
  • However, today’s bid was likely supported by market expectations for RBA easing in 2025. A 25bp rate cut in July is given a 92% probability, with a cumulative 76bps of easing priced by year-end.
  • Also on the positive side, it's important to note that the May-28 bond was included in the YM basket and that sentiment towards global bonds has improved recently.
  • There has been no notable movement in the cash line in post-supply dealings. 

Historical bullets

CHINA: Central Bank Withdraws CNY0.6bn via OMO

Jun-04 01:25
  • The PBOC issued CNY214.9bn of 7-day reverse repo at 1.4% during this morning’s operations.
  • Today’s maturities CNY215.5 bn
  • Net liquidity withdrawal CNY0.6 bn.
  • The PBOC monitors and maintains liquidity in the interbank system through the issuance of reverse repo.
  • The CFETS Pledged Repo Deposit Institutions 7 Day Weighted is at 1.40%, from yesterday's close of 1.54%.
  • The China overnight interbank repo rate is at 1.41%, from the prior close of 1.41%.
  • The China 7-day interbank repo rate is at 1.58%, from the prior close of 1.56%.  
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MNI: CHINA PBOC CONDUCTS CNY214.9 BLN VIA 7-DAY REVERSE REPO WEDS

Jun-04 01:22
  • CHINA PBOC CONDUCTS CNY214.9 BLN VIA 7-DAY REVERSE REPO WEDS

CNH: USD/CNY Fixing Edges Up, Fixing Error Back To Negative

Jun-04 01:18

The USD/CNY fixing was set at 7.1886, against a BBG market consensus of 7.2005.

  • The fixing error is back to negative (-119pips), after yesterday's +137pip outcome. A negative fixing error is in line with the stronger USD over the past 24 hours.
  • The actual fix is only a touch above yesterday's outcome (7.1869).
  • Spot USD/CNH is relatively steady in the first part of Wednesday trade, last just above 7.1900.