The latest round of ACGB May-28 supply sees the weighted average yield print 0.97bps through prevailing mids (per Yieldbroker), extending the recent trend of firm pricing at ACGB auctions.
- However, the cover ratio dropped to 3.9550x from a robust 4.4250x at the previous outing.
- As highlighted in the preview, the outright yield was 50bps lower than the previous auction and almost 100bps lower than the cycle peak in early November last year.
- However, today’s bid was likely supported by market expectations for RBA easing in 2025. A 25bp rate cut in July is given a 92% probability, with a cumulative 76bps of easing priced by year-end.
- Also on the positive side, it's important to note that the May-28 bond was included in the YM basket and that sentiment towards global bonds has improved recently.
- There has been no notable movement in the cash line in post-supply dealings.