AUSSIE BONDS: Smooth Digestion Of Mar-36 Supply With Stronger Demand

Jul-16 01:24

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The latest ACGB Mar-36 auction saw adequate demand, with the weighted average yield coming in 0.41bp...

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CNH: USD/CNY Fixing Edges Up, Fixing Error Back To Negative

Jun-16 01:21

The USD/CNY fixing printed at 7.1789, versus a Bloomberg market consensus of 7.1849.

  • Today's fixing edges up from Friday's outcome (7.1772), while the fixing error flips back to a negative of -60pips. This is in line with higher USD index levels over recent trading.
  • USD/CNH is little changed in the first part of trade, with the pair last near 7.1890.  

CHINA SETS YUAN CENTRAL PARITY AT 7.1789 MON VS 7.1772

Jun-16 01:19
  • CHINA SETS YUAN CENTRAL PARITY AT 7.1789 MON VS 7.1772

NEW ZEALAND: Slower Growth Expected But Inflation Eases To Band Mid-Point

Jun-16 01:01

The NZIER June survey of forecasters has been published and is showing a downward revision to NZ growth this financial year and next compared with the March results. FY25 is down 0.3pp to 1.1% and FY26 0.2pp to 1.9%, the recovery remains in place supported by lower rates. Residential investment is the main driver of the projection changes with the NZIER citing “reduced pipeline of housing construction”. However, inflation was revised up 0.2pp to 2.5% for FY25 but FY26 was unchanged at 2.2% and it holds around the RBNZ’s 2.0% band mid-point thereafter. 

  • Despite expectations for slower growth the unemployment rate was revised down 0.1pp to 5.1% in FY25 & FY26 but employment growth is weaker in FY25 down 0.3pp to -0.7% but FY26 remains at 1.4%.
  • Forecasters revised up near-term export expectations due to increased demand for food stuffs. However, the current highly uncertain global growth environment and increased trade protectionism drove a downward revision in FY27 with FY28 unchanged.
  • See NZIER “Consensus Forecasts” here.