AUSTRALIA DATA: Sharp Moderation In December Trimmed Mean

Jan-29 01:56

December headline CPI inflation rose 0.2% m/m (seasonally adjusted) to be up 2.5% y/y after 2.3% y/y. The trimmed mean moderated 0.5pp to 2.7% y/y, the lowest in three years. The other measure of underlying inflation, CPI ex volatile items & holiday travel, rose 0.2% m/m to be up 2.7% y/y down from 2.8%. Lower rental, new dwelling, clothing and insurance inflation all helped to drive underlying inflation lower. 

  • Services inflation moderated to 3.7% y/y from 4.2%, the lowest since December 2023, and non-tradeables rose 3.0% y/y, the lowest in over three years. The RBA prefers the quarterly CPI data but is likely to be reassured by the moderation in domestically-driven inflation seen at the end of 2024 but 3-month momentum is again picking up in both series and so will likely continue to be monitored closely.
  • There was a pickup in goods and tradeables inflation in December with both up 1.4% y/y after being below 1% in November.

Australia CPI y/y%

Source: MNI - Market News/ABS

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FOREX: G10 & KRW Stronger Against Greenback

Dec-30 01:54

KRW and AUD have been the largest movers against the US dollar during APAC trading today with both 0.2% stronger against the greenback. The BBDXY USD index is down slightly but has been moving within a narrow range.

  • USDKRW is currently down 0.2% to 1467.35 after initially rising to 1475.45 following continued political instability and a fatal plane crash on Sunday. The investigators into former president Yoon are requesting a warrant for his arrest after his failed attempt to impose martial law early in December. Public authorities have stated that they will act if needed to ensure financial market stability. Korean equities are rallying.
  • AUDUSD is up 0.3% to 0.6231, close to the intraday high, as iron ore rises above $100/t again. There are few local events this week. Later today RBA assistant governor (financial system) Jones appears.
  • NZDUSD is 0.1% higher at 0.5643, close to today’s peak. AUDNZD is 0.1% higher at 1.1040.
  • USDJPY has been moving in a narrow range to be down moderately to 157.79. Only the final estimate of the December Jibun Bank manufacturing PMI was released with a 0.1 upward revision to 49.6.
  • European currencies are slightly higher against the USD with EURUSD at 1.043 and GBPUSD 1.2584.
  • Equities are mixed with the Hang Seng up 0.2% and KOSPI +0.9% but ASX down 0.5% and Nikkei -0.8%. The S&P e-mini is down 0.1%. Oil prices are higher with WTI +0.1% to $70.68/bbl. Copper is up 0.3% and iron ore is around $100.50/t.

MNI: CHINA PBOC CONDUCTS CNY89.1 BLN VIA 7-DAY REVERSE REPOS MON

Dec-30 01:33
  • CHINA PBOC CONDUCTS CNY89.1 BLN VIA 7-DAY REVERSE REPOS MON

MNI: CHINA SETS YUAN CENTRAL PARITY AT 7.1889 MON VS 7.1893

Dec-30 01:32
  • CHINA SETS YUAN CENTRAL PARITY AT 7.1889 MON VS 7.1893