EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Fig 1: Tokyo CPI Core Y/Y Momentum Rises Further

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg/Refinitiv.
UK
BOE (BBG): “ Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has urged the government to strike a deeper trade deal with the European Union to improve growth and “minimize negative effects” of Brexit.”
BOE (FT/BBG): "The current upsurge in inflation was being driven by one-time factors, including tax, administered price changes and the drag on growth from uncertainty generated by US President Donald Trump’s trade war, Bank of England MPC member Alan Taylor told the Financial Times."
BUSINESS CONFIDENCE (BBG): “A gauge of UK business confidence rose to a nine-month high, climbing back to a level not seen since soon after Prime Minister Keir Starmer first took power, as markets rebounded and trade tensions eased with the US.”
EU
PORTUGAL (BBG): “- Portugal’s center-right leader Luis Montenegro was formally named prime minister for a second term after his ruling coalition won a snap election earlier this month.”
US
TARIFFS (WSJ): “The administration's tariff strategy was undermined when a court this week found it was illegal for Trump to impose sweeping duties by using emergency economic powers. A federal appeals court on Thursday allowed his duties to stay in effect while the administration's appeal moves forward, but U.S. officials are weighing their options should they need to find a new legal authority to impose the president's steep tariffs, which he argues will help rebalance trade in America's favor.”
FED (MNI BRIEF): San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said Thursday monetary policy remains in a good place, continuing to put downward pressure on inflation while uncertainty emanates from Washington.
FED (MNI): It could take quite some time for Federal Reserve officials to gain clarity on the economic outlook, but monetary policy is well-placed to respond to heightened risks for employment and inflation related to trade policy uncertainty, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said Thursday.
FED (MNI BRIEF): Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell told U.S. President Donald Trump in a meeting Wednesday that monetary policy decisions will be based on "non-political analysis," the central bank said in a statement.
FED (MNI POLICY): Worries that the worst-case scenario for tariffs would lead to a sudden stop in U.S. economic growth are gradually fading, further reducing the case for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year as uncertainty about the inflationary effects of volatile trade policies remains high.
US/CHINA (WSJ): "US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said trade talks with China are “a bit stalled,” and that a call between President Donald Trump and his counterpart Xi Jinping may be needed for the world’s two largest economies to reach a deal."
OTHER
JAPAN (MNI BRIEF): Tokyo’s year-on-year core inflation rate accelerated to 3.6% in May from 3.4% in April, remaining above the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for the seventh consecutive month, data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications showed on Friday.
JAPAN (MNI BRIEF): The Bank of Japan is closely monitoring developments in the JGB market, including its overall functioning, amid growing concerns over worsening supply-demand dynamics, Governor Kazuo Ueda told lawmakers Friday.
JAPAN (MNI BRIEF): Japan’s industrial production declined 0.9% month-on-month in April, marking the first drop in three months following a modest 0.2% gain in March, data from the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) showed Friday
MEXICO (MNI BRIEF): All members of the Central Bank of Mexico’s board highlighted economic perils linked to deepening uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy, according to the minutes of the latest policy meeting released Thursday.
CHINA
URBAN RENEWAL (MNI): MNI discusses Beijing's urban renewal funding options. On MNI Policy MainWire now, for more details please contact sales@marketnews.com
TRADE (SECURITIES TIMES): "China may boost its pledged supplementary lending (PSL) facility and offer interest subsidies in the second quarter to help stabilize trade amid U.S. tariff pressure, Securities Times reports, citing analysts."
IDLE LAND (ECONOMIC INFORMATION DAILY): “City level officials are accelerating idle land purchases using local government special bonds, Economic Information Daily reported. A total of 171 city governments have announced acquisition plans valued at CNY390 billion as of May 27, the China Real Estate Information Corporation said, noting a prevalence of third- and fourth-tier cities.”
LOCAL BONDS (MOFCOM): “Local governments issued a total of CNY1.5 trillion in new bonds during the first four months, including CNY302 billion in general bonds and CNY1.19 trillion in special-purpose bonds, data from the Ministry of Finance showed.”
CONSUMPTION (SHANGHAI SECURITIES NEWS): “Local officials are driving domestic demand using innovative consumption subsidies including childcare and marriage vouchers, Shanghai Securities News reported.”
CHINA MARKETS
MNI: PBOC Net Injects CNY148.6 Bln via OMO Friday
MNI (BEIJING) - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) conducted CNY291.1 billion via 7-day reverse repos, with the rate unchanged at 1.40%. The operation led to a net injection of CNY148.6 billion after offsetting the maturities of CNY142.5 billion today, according to Wind Information.
MNI: PBOC Sets Yuan Parity Lower At 7.1848 Fri; +0.76% Y/Y
MNI (BEIJING) - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) set the dollar-yuan central parity rate lower at 7.1848 on Friday, compared with 7.1907 set on Thursday. The fixing was estimated at 7.1708 by Bloomberg survey today.
MARKET DATA
NEW ZEALAND MAY ANZ CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX 92.9; PRIOR 98.3
NEW ZEALAND MAY ANZ CONSUMER CONFIDENCE M/M -5.5%; PRIOR 5.5%
NEW ZEALAND APR BUILDING PERMITS M/M -15.6%; PRIOR 10.7%
AUSTRALIA APR RETAIL SALES M/M -0.1%; MEDIAN 0.3%; PRIOR 0.3%
AUSTRALIA APR BUILDING APPROVALS -5.7%: MEDIAN 3.0%; PRIOR -7.1%
AUSTRALIA APR PRIVATE CREDIT M/M 0.7%; MEDIAN 0.5%; PRIOR 0.5%
JAPAN APR JOBLESS RATE 2.5%; MEDIAN 2.5%; PRIOR 2.5%
JAPAN APR JOB-TO-APPLICANT RATIO 1.26; MEDIAN 1.26; PRIOR 1.26
JAPAN MAY TOKYO CPI Y/Y 3.4%; MEDIAN 3.4%; PRIOR 3.4%
JAPAN MAY TOKYO CPI EX FRESH FOOD Y/Y 3.6%; MEDIAN 3.5%; PRIOR 3.5%
JAPAN MAY TOKYO CPI EX FRESH FOOD, ENERGY Y/Y 3.3%; MEDIAN 3.2%; PRIOR 3.1%
JAPAN APR P IP M/M -0.9%; MEDIAN -1%; PRIOR 0.2%
JAPAN APR RETAIL SALES M/M 0.5%; MEDIAN 0.5%; PRIOR -1.2%
JAPAN APR DEPARTMENT STORE SALES Y/Y 1.5%; PRIOR 1.7%
JAPAN APR HOUSING STARTS xx
SOUTH KOREA APR IP M/M -0.9%; MEDIAN 0.5%; PRIOR 2.9%
SOUTH KOREA APR CYCLICAL LEADING INDEX 0.3; PRIOR 0.2
MARKETS
US TSYS: Asia Wrap - A Subdued Session
The TYM5 range has been 110-19+ to 110-23 during the Asia-Pacific session. It last changed hands at 110-21+, almost unchanged from the previous close.
JGBS: 20Y Leads Rally, Ueda: BoJ To Assess JGB Tapering Program
JGB futures are stronger, +12 compared to settlement levels.
AUSSIE BONDS: Richer & Near Bests, Tariff HLs In Focus, Q1 GDP Wednesday
ACGBs (YM +9.0 & XM +10.0) are hovering near Sydney session highs.
BONDS: NZGBS: Bull-Flattener To End a Hawkish Week
NZGBs closed showing a bull-flattener, with benchmark yields just off session bests, 2-7bps lower.
FOREX: Asia FX Wrap - Market Wants To Be Short USD's
The BBDXY has had a range of 1213.32 - 1216.38 in the Asia-Pac session, it is currently trading around 1216. “The BOE’s Andrew Bailey urged closer EU trade ties to improve growth and “minimize negative effects” of Brexit”(BBG).“U.S. officials are weighing their options should they need to find a new legal authority to impose the president's steep tariffs, which he argues will help rebalance trade in America's favor." WSJ
Data/Events : Ger Retail Sales & CPI, Spain CPI, Italy GDP & CPI
Fig 1: GBP/USD Spot Daily Chart

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg
AUD: Asia Wrap - Lower Retail Print Sees The Aud Dip
The AUD/USD has had a range of 0.6424 - 0.6453 in the Asia- Pac session, it is currently trading around 0.6430. The AUD has underperformed across the board today after some weaker data.
AUD/JPY - Today's range 92.40 - 92.99, it is trading currently around 92.50. Price action yesterday showed the market was short, but was also very quick to re-instate positions. Range looks 92.00 - 94.00 for now, a sustained break below 91.50/92.00 needed to bring focus back to towards the lows again.
Fig 1: AUD/USD spot Daily Chart

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg
JPY: Asia Wrap - Risk Drifting Lower, The JPY Benefits
The Asia-Pac USD/JPY range has been 143.44 - 144.21, Asia is currently trading around 143.90. USD/JPY has remained offered in our session as the market's focus returns to selling the USD once more as US Stocks drift lower.
Options : Close significant option expiries for NY cut, based on DTCC data: 143.00($3.39b May 30), 140.00($2.78b May 30). Upcoming Close Strikes : 147.50($475m June 2), 147.75($476m June 3)
Fig 1 : USD/JPY Spot Daily Chart

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg
NZD: Asia Wrap - NZD Holding Up, Eyes 0.6000 Again
The NZD/USD had a range of 0.5960 - 0.5990 in the Asia-Pac session, going into the London open trading around 0.5965. The NZD has consolidated in a tight range in our session. US Stocks came under some pressure as the WSJ reports Trump is actively looking for alternative ways to impose his agenda should the appeal fail.
AUD/NZD range for the session has been 1.0760 - 1.0801, currently trading 1.0775. A top looks in place now just above 1.0900, the market will have been looking for a more dovish tone from the RBNZ this week and AUD/NZD should now see supply on bounces. The sell zone is back towards 1.0825/50 with the first target being around 1.0650.
Fig 1: NZD/USD Spot Daily Chart

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg
ASIA STOCKS: Stocks Lower on Ongoing Tariff Uncertainty
Major bourses across the region fell today as uncertainty remains over tariffs. The on again off again nature of the current situation does not bode well for risk appetite and investors drove equities lower today . US Treasury Secretary Bessent described talks between China and the US as 'stalled' weighing on sentiment.
OIL: Declines Continue In Asia Trading
Gold Gives Back Overnight Gains
UP TODAY (TIMES GMT/LOCAL)
| Date | GMT/Local | Impact | Country | Event |
| 30/05/2025 | 0600/0800 | *** | GDP | |
| 30/05/2025 | 0600/0800 | ** | Import/Export Prices | |
| 30/05/2025 | 0600/0800 | ** | Retail Sales | |
| 30/05/2025 | 0630/0730 | DMO to release FQ2 (Jul-Sep) issuance ops calendar | ||
| 30/05/2025 | 0700/0900 | *** | HICP (p) | |
| 30/05/2025 | 0700/0900 | ** | KOF Economic Barometer | |
| 30/05/2025 | 0800/1000 | ** | M3 | |
| 30/05/2025 | 0800/1000 | *** | GDP (f) | |
| 30/05/2025 | 0800/1000 | *** | Bavaria CPI | |
| 30/05/2025 | 0800/1000 | *** | North Rhine Westphalia CPI | |
| 30/05/2025 | 0800/1000 | *** | Baden Wuerttemberg CPI | |
| 30/05/2025 | 0900/1100 | *** | HICP (p) | |
| 30/05/2025 | 1000/1200 | ** | PPI | |
| 30/05/2025 | 1200/1400 | *** | HICP (p) | |
| 30/05/2025 | 1230/0830 | ** | WASDE Weekly Import/Export | |
| 30/05/2025 | 1230/0830 | *** | Personal Income and Consumption | |
| 30/05/2025 | 1230/0830 | ** | Advance Trade, Advance Business Inventories | |
| 30/05/2025 | 1230/0830 | *** | GDP - Canadian Economic Accounts | |
| 30/05/2025 | 1230/0830 | *** | Gross Domestic Product by Industry | |
| 30/05/2025 | 1230/0830 | *** | CA GDP by Industry and GDP Canadian Economic Accounts Combined | |
| 30/05/2025 | 1342/0942 | *** | MNI Chicago PMI | |
| 30/05/2025 | 1400/1000 | *** | U. Mich. Survey of Consumers | |
| 30/05/2025 | 1400/1000 | ** | University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers Inflation Expectation | |
| 30/05/2025 | 1500/1100 | Finance Dept monthly Fiscal Monitor (expected) | ||
| 30/05/2025 | 1700/1300 | ** | Baker Hughes Rig Count Overview - Weekly | |
| 30/05/2025 | 1700/1300 | ** | Baker Hughes Rig Count Overview - Weekly | |
| 30/05/2025 | 2045/1645 | San Francisco Fed's Mary Daly | ||
| 30/05/2025 | 2330/1930 | Chicago Fed's Austan Goolsbee | ||
| 31/05/2025 | 0130/0930 | *** | CFLP Manufacturing PMI | |
| 31/05/2025 | 0130/0930 | ** | CFLP Non-Manufacturing PMI |