ECB: Lagarde: GC In Agreement Of List Of Growth Risks Outlined
Oct-30 14:15
Q: Was there a discussion about changing the balance of risk to say perhaps turned to the upside?
A: "We cannot repeat ad nauseum that it is more balanced and more balanced each and every time, which is the reason why we chose to list. Specifically, risk to the downside risk to the upside and we acknowledge, in the first part of that risk section concerning activity, that some of the downside risks that we had with us for quite a while had abated. And I think there was some discussion".
- "I think we were all in agreement on that identification of risk with a specific listing of those risks. We acknowledge, in the first part of that risk section concerning activity, that some of the downside risks that we had with us for quite a while had abated. And I think there was some discussion. As always, you know, on the one hand on the other hand, some see a little bit more of this little bit more of that but I think we were pulled in agreement on that identification".
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CROSS ASSET: USDJPY extends further losses
Sep-30 14:14
- With Tnotes through the session high, and now eyeing the next resistance noted at 113.00, the USDJPY extends further losses taking its cue from the lower Yield.
- Next Immediate support in USDJPY comes at 147.46.
- EGBs, Bund and Gilt are dragged higher, with likely some positioning and squaring as we head into the European unofficial close given the US Goverment shutdown deadline day.
US TSYS: Post JOLTS React
Sep-30 14:06
- That was fast - Treasury futures pared recent post-PMI gains slightly then quickly reverse - extend highs after lower than expected JOLTS Quits & Layoffs levels (& priors down-revised), job openings higher (priors up-revised).
- Currently, the Dec'25 10Y trades +6.5 at 112-23 (yld 4.1155% -.0232); Curves mixed: 2s10s -.080 at 51.536, 5s30s +0.963 at 97.773.
- US$ index off lows, Bbg's BBDXY -1.42 at 1200.90.
UK: PM Reiterates Fiscal Rules 'Non-Negotiable', Says 'Tough Decisions' Ahead
Sep-30 14:06
Delivering his speech to the Labour party conference, Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer says on the gov'ts fiscal plans and constraints:
- Says, "The tough decisions will keep on coming...It doesn't get easier from here....National renewal takes time. It requires patience as well as courage. I acknowledge the temptation. You can see it all around the world to cast of the constraints to engage in ideological fantasy. But it does not matter if it's unfunded tax cuts or unfunded spending. The results are the same"
- "We need firm and fair decisions to control debt."
- "A Labour party that cannot control spending is a Labour party that cannot govern in our times."
- Says that Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves' fiscal rules are "non-negotiable", adding that "This isn’t a game, not a tactic… those rules protect working people, children’s future”.
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