* RES 4: 107.000 Round number resistance * RES 3: 106.945 High Dec 3 and a key resistance * RES 2: 1...
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The current bear cycle in EURGBP appears corrective - for now. Note that the cross has breached the 50-day EMA, currently at 0.8752. The break highlights a stronger reversal and a bear threat, plus scope for a deeper retracement, towards 0.8706, a Fibonacci retracement. Initial resistance to watch is 0.8802, the Dec 2 high. Clearance of this hurdle would be a bullish development and signal a resumption of the uptrend.
A sharp sell-off in Schatz futures last week and a bearish start to this week’s session, confirms a continuation of a bear cycle that started mid-October. Note that on the continuation chart, MA studies are in a bear-mode position, highlighting a dominant downtrend. Sights are on 106.655 next, a Fibonacci projection. Key short-term resistance has been defined at 106.945, the Dec 3 high. A corrective bounce would allow an oversold trend condition to unwind.
| Date | Time | Period | Event |
| 09-Dec | 1415 | --- | BOE Lombardelli, Ramsden, Dhingra, Mann at TSC |
| 10-Dec | 1000 | --- | Chancellor Reeves Testifies at TSC on Budget |
| 10-Dec | 1045 | --- | BOE Bailey Pre-recorded Chat on Financial Stability |
| 11-Dec | 0001 | Nov | RICS House Prices |
| 11-Dec | 1000 | --- | BOE Bailey Gives Evidence At Covid-19 Inquiry |
| 12-Dec | 0700 | Oct | GDP / Services / Production / Trade / Construction |
| 12-Dec | 0930 | Nov | Bank of England/Ipsos Inflation Attitudes Survey |
| 16-Dec | 0700 | Oct/Nov | Labour Market Report |
| 16-Dec | 0930 | Dec | S&P Global Manuf / Serv / Comp PMI flash |
| 17-Dec | 0001 | Nov | Brightmine pay deals for whole economy |
| 17-Dec | 0700 | Nov | Consumer Inflation Report / Producer Prices |
| 17-Dec | 1100 | Dec | CBI Industrial Trends |
| 18-Dec | 1200 | --- | Bank Of England Interest Rate |
| 19-Dec | 0001 | Dec | Gfk Monthly Consumer Confidence |
| 19-Dec | 0700 | Nov | Public Sector Finances / Retail Sales |
| 19-Dec | 1100 | Dec | CBI Distributive Trades |
| 19-Dec | 1200 | --- | BOE Market Participants Survey |
| 19-Dec | 1630 | --- | BOE to announce APF Q4 Sales Schedule |