SCHATZ TECHS: (H6) Corrective Bounce Extends

Dec-18 06:35

* RES 4: 106.975 High Dec 1 * RES 3: 106.945 High Dec 3 and a key short-term resistance * RES 2: 106...

Historical bullets

GBPUSD TECHS: Resistance Remains Intact

Nov-18 06:23
  • RES 4: 1.3368 50.0% retracement of the Sep 17 - Nov 4 bear leg    
  • RES 3: 1.3303 50-day EMA   
  • RES 2: 1.3284 38.2% retracement of the Sep 17 - Nov 4 bear leg 
  • RES 1: 1.3203/16 20-day EMA / High Nov 13
  • PRICE: 1.3161 @ 06:22 GMT Nov 18
  • SUP 1: 1.3085/10 Low Nov 12 / Low Nov 4 & 5 and the bear trigger 
  • SUP 2: 1.2971 1.382 proj of the Sep 17 - 25 - Oct 1 price swing
  • SUP 3: 1.2945 50.0% retracement of the Jan 13 - Jul 1 bull leg
  • SUP 4: 1.2877 1.618 proj of the Sep 17 - 25 - Oct 1 price swing          

A key short-term resistance in GBPUSD at 1.3203, the 20-day EMA, remains intact. It has been pierced, a clear break of it would signal scope for a stronger corrective cycle and expose the 50-day EMA, at 1.3303. Moving average studies remain in a bear-mode condition and continue to highlight a dominant downtrend. A reversal would signal the end of the correction and a resumption of the bear leg. The bear trigger is 1.3010, the Nov 4 and 5 low.

LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Nov-18 06:23
DateTimePeriodEvent
18-Nov1300---BOE Pill Fireside Chat on MonPol
18-Nov1500---BOE Dhingra on Income Growth and Consumption
19-Nov0001OctBrightmine pay deals for whole economy
19-Nov0700OctConsumer Inflation Report / Producer Prices
20-Nov1100NovCBI Industrial Trends
20-Nov1830---BOE Dhingra Speech on Trade and Tariffs
21-Nov0001NovGfk Monthly Consumer Confidence
21-Nov0700OctPublic Sector Finances / Retail Sales
21-Nov0930NovS&P Manuf / Serv / Comp PMIs (p)
21-Nov1540---BOE Pill in Panel at Swiss National Bank
25-Nov1100NovCBI Distributive Trades
26-Nov1230---Chancellor Reeves to deliver UK Budget
26-Nov1530---DMO to publish consultation agenda
27-Nov1600---BOE Greene Speech at Goodbody Conference
01-Dec0930Nov/OctS&P Manuf PMI (f) / BOE Lending to Individuals / M4
01-Dec1530---DMO to hold FQ4 consultations with investors / GEMMs
02-Dec0001NovBRC Monthly Shop Price Index
02-Dec0700H2BOE Financial Stability Report

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Nov-18 06:18
DateTimeCountryEvent
18-Nov1000EUECB Elderson at Banking Supervision Press Conference
19-Nov0900EUEZ Current Account
19-Nov1000EUEZ HICP Final
20-Nov0700DEPPI
20-Nov1000EUEZ Construction Output
20-Nov1500EUConsumer Confidence Indicator (p)
21-Nov0745FRManufacturing Sentiment
21-Nov0800EUECB de Guindos Remarks/Q&A at Foro Gran Via
21-Nov0815FRS&P Global Manuf / Services PMI (p)
21-Nov0830DES&P Global Manuf / Services PMI (p)
21-Nov0830EUECB Lagarde Speech at European Banking Congress
21-Nov0900EUS&P Global Manuf / Serv / Comp PMI (p)
21-Nov1000EUNegotiated Wage Growth
21-Nov1130EUECB de Guindos Remarks/Q&A at Deusto Business School
22-Nov0800EUECB Lagarde in Roundtable at Austrian National Bank
22-Nov1100EUECB Lagarde Keynote on Fiscal and MonPol