OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - Bull Cycle In Gilts Remains Intact
Nov-03 12:26
In the FI space, Bund futures are trading closer to their recent lows. This suggests a short-term bear cycle remains intact for now. The move down that started on Oct 17 still appears corrective and has allowed an overbought trend condition to unwind. The next important support to watch lies at the 50-day EMA, currently at 129.13. A clear break would signal scope for a deeper retracement. First resistance is 129.73, Oct 28 high.
The trend structure in Gilt futures is unchanged, it remains bullish and the contract is holding on to the bulk of its recent gains. Moving average studies are in a bull-mode position, highlighting a dominant uptrend. The next upside objective is 94.00. A break of this level would open 94.24, a 1.618 projection of the Sep 3 - 11 - 26 price swing. Note that the contract is overbought, a short-term pullback would allow this condition to unwind. Firm support to watch 92.75, the 20-day EMA.