SCHATZ: Front-end EUR Ranges Contained Ahead Of Tomorrow's PMIs

Oct-23 10:06

The EUR front-end has traded in a relatively contained range through this week, with focus still on tomorrow’s October flash PMIs. Last Friday’s lows have limited downside in ERU6 and Z6 futures on several occasions over the last four sessions.

  • Accordingly, Monday’s 107.175 low has provided a floor in Schatz futures for now (currently -2 ticks at 107.180).
  • Our technical analyst notes that the trend in Schatz futures remains bullish, with initial support at 107.150 (Oct 15 low). A deeper pullback would expose the 20-day EMA at 107.117.

Historical bullets

EQUITY OPTIONS: Estoxx Outright Put Buyer

Sep-23 10:03

SX5E (19th Dec) 4600p, bought for 20.60 in 4k.

EGB SYNDICATION: DDA: 30-year 3.50% Jan-56 DSL: Priced

Sep-23 10:01
  • Uniform price: 99.22 to yield 3.543 %
  • Size: E4.999bln (MNI had assumed takeup at the top of the E4-5bln target range)
  • Cut off spread 2.90% Aug-54 Bund + 20bps
  • Prelim initial spread guidance yesterday was +18.5 to 22.5bps then revised to 19.5 to 22.5bps as books opened then 19.5 to 21.0bps. Final guidance was + 20 to 21bps
  • Final book: E32.739bln
  • Allocated to real money: 85.77%
  • Allocated to other: 14.23%
  • Allocation at the cut-off spread: Real money: 44.00%, other: 3.61%
  • Maturity: 15 January 2056
  • ISIN: NL0015002P70

MNI: UK SEP CBI INDUSTRIAL TRENDS TOTAL ORDERS -27

Sep-23 10:00
  • MNI: UK SEP CBI INDUSTRIAL TRENDS TOTAL ORDERS -27
  • UK CBI SEP PRICE INTENTIONS 4