LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 12-Dec | 0700 | DE | Germany CPI (f) |
| 12-Dec | 0745 | FR | HICP (f) |
| 12-Dec | 0800 | ES | HICP (f) |
| 12-Dec | --- | EU | ECB de Guindos at ECOFIN Meeting |
| 15-Dec | 1000 | EU | EZ Industrial Production |
| 16-Dec | 0815 | FR | S&P Global Manuf / Services PMI (p) |
| 16-Dec | 0830 | DE | S&P Global Manuf / Services PMI (p) |
| 16-Dec | 0900 | EU | S&P Global Manuf / Serv / Comp PMI (p) |
| 16-Dec | 0900 | IT | Italy Final HICP |
| 16-Dec | 1000 | EU | Trade Balance |
| 16-Dec | 1000 | DE | ZEW Current Expectations Index |
| 16-Dec | 1000 | IT | Foreign Trade |
| 17-Dec | 0900 | DE | IFO Business Climate Index |
| 17-Dec | 1000 | EU | EZ HICP Final |
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LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 12-Nov | 0700 | DE | Germany CPI (f) |
| 12-Nov | 0900 | IT | Industrial Production |
| 12-Nov | 1045 | EU | ECB Schnabel Speech at BNP Paribas |
| 12-Nov | 1140 | EU | ECB de Guindos at International Banking Conference |
| 12-Nov | --- | EU | ECB Lagarde, Cipollone at Eurogroup Meeting |
| 13-Nov | 1000 | EU | EZ Industrial Production |
| 13-Nov | --- | EU | ECB de Guindos at ECOFIN Meeting in Brussels |
| 13-Nov | 1300 | EU | ECB Elderson Moderates Climate and Banks Panel |
| 14-Nov | 0745 | FR | HICP (f) |
| 14-Nov | 0800 | ES | HICP (f) |
| 14-Nov | 0900 | IT | Foreign Trade |
| 14-Nov | 1000 | EU | GDP 2nd Est (Flash) / Trade Balance |
| 14-Nov | 1030 | EU | ECB Elderson Keynote at ECB Banking Supervision Forum |
| 14-Nov | 1330 | EU | ECB Elderson Remarks at COP30 Finance Day |
| 14-Nov | 1500 | EU | ECB Lane Panel on International Macro & Finance |
| 15-Nov | 1330 | EU | ECB Schnabel Chairs Panel at Econ/FinStab Conference |
BOBL TECHS: (Z5) Bear Cycle
- RES 4: 118.970 High Oct 17 and key resistance
- RES 3: 118.770 High Oct 22
- RES 2: 118.360/600 High Oct 28 / 24
- RES 1: 118.201 20-day EMA.
- PRICE: 118.110 @ 05:40 GMT Nov 12
- SUP 1: 117.960/900 Low Nov 10 / Low Oct 10
- SUP 2: 117.824 76.4% retracement of the Sep 25 - Oct 17 bull cycle
- SUP 3: 117.710 Low Oct 6
- SUP 4: 117.630 Low Oct 1
The short-term trend condition in Bobl futures remains bearish for now. The contract traded to a fresh cycle low Monday, reinforcing a bear theme. Price is through 118.043, 61.8% of the Sep 25 - Oct 17 bull cycle. This signals scope for an extension towards 117.824, the 76.4% Fibonacci projection. Initial resistance is seen at 118.195, the 20-day EMA. A clear break of the EMA would signal a possible reversal.
EURUSD TECHS: Corrective Cycle Still In Play
- RES 4: 1.1728 High Oct 17
- RES 3: 1.1669 High Oct 28 and key resistance
- RES 2: 1.1623 50-day EMA
- RES 1: 1.1606 High Nov 11
- PRICE: 1.1580 @ 06:06 GMT Nov 12
- SUP 1: 1.1530/1469 Low Nov 7 / 5 and the bear trigger
- SUP 2: 1.1425 1.500 proj of the Oct 17 - 22 - 28 price swing
- SUP 3: 1.1392 Low Aug 1 and bear trigger
- SUP 4: 1.1313 Low May 30
EURUSD traded higher Tuesday. The pair has breached an initial important resistance at 1.1584, the 20-day EMA. The break paves the way for an extension of the corrective cycle, towards the 50-day EMA, at 1.1623. A clear break of the 50-day average would highlight a potentially stronger bull cycle. On the downside, a reversal would refocus attention on the bear trigger at 1.1469, the Nov 5 low. Clearance of this level resumes the downtrend.
