LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Nov-27 06:18
DateTimeCountryEvent
27-Nov0700DEGFK Consumer Climate
27-Nov0830EUECB Cipollone Remarks at Euro Cyber Resilience Board
27-Nov0900EUM3
27-Nov0900ITISTAT Business / Consumer Confidence
27-Nov1000EUConsumer Confidence, Industrial Sentiment
27-Nov1100EUECB de Guindos Remarks at CEDE Congress of Executives
28-Nov0700DEImport/Export Prices / Retail Sales
28-Nov0745FRHICP (p) / GDP (f) / PPI / Consumer Spend / Payrolls
28-Nov0800ESHICP (p)
28-Nov0855DEUnemployment
28-Nov0900ITGDP (f)
28-Nov0900DERegional CPIs
28-Nov0900EUECB Consumer Expectations Survey
28-Nov1000ITHICP (p)
28-Nov1300DEGermany CPI (p)

Historical bullets

LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)

Oct-28 06:18
DateTimeCountryEvent
28-Oct0700DEGFK Consumer Climate
28-Oct0900ITISTAT Consumer/Business Confidence
28-Oct0900EUECB Bank Lending Survey
29-Oct0800ESGDP (p)
29-Oct1100ITPPI
30-Oct0630FRGDP (p) / Consumer Spending
30-Oct0800ESHICP (p)
30-Oct0855DEUnemployment
30-Oct0900DEGDP (p) / State-level CPI
30-Oct0900ITGDP (p)
30-Oct1000EUESI / Unemployment / Flash GDP
30-Oct1300DEGermany HICP (p)
30-Oct1315EUECB Decision
30-Oct1345EUECB Press Conference
30-Oct1515EUECB Lagarde Presents Rate Decision on ECB Podcast
31-Oct0700DEImport/Export Prices / Retail Sales
31-Oct0745FRHICP (p) / PPI
31-Oct1000EUEZ HICP Flash
31-Oct1000ITItaly Flash Inflation

GBPUSD TECHS: Bear Threat Still Present

Oct-28 06:17
  • RES 4: 1.3613 76.4% retracement of the Sep 17 - Oct 14 bear leg    
  • RES 3: 1.3544 61.8% retracement of the Sep 17 - Oct 14 bear leg 
  • RES 2: 1.3527 High Oct 1 and a pivot level
  • RES 1: 1.3388/3471 20-day EMA / High Oct 17 and a key resistance  
  • PRICE: 1.3363 @ 06:17 GMT Oct 28
  • SUP 1: 1.3249 Low Oct 14 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 1.3220 0.764 proj of the Sep 17 - 25 - Oct 1 price swing 
  • SUP 3: 1.3142 Low Aug 1 and a key support
  • SUP 4: 1.3041 Low Apr 14           

A bear threat in GBPUSD remains present. Recent weakness highlights the end of the corrective bounce between Oct 14 - 17. A resumption of weakness would expose key short-term support at 1.3249, the Oct 14 low and a bear trigger. Clearance of this level would resume the downleg that has been in place since Sep 17. Key near-term resistance is at 1.3471, the Oct 17 high. A break of this hurdle would instead signal a possible reversal.

BOBL TECHS: (Z5) Correction Extends

Oct-28 06:12
  • RES 4: 119.000 Round number resistance        
  • RES 3: 118.970 High Oct 17 and key resistance    
  • RES 2: 118.770 High Oct 22 
  • RES 1: 118.600 High Oct 24   
  • PRICE: 118.190 @ 06:18 GMT Oct 27
  • SUP 1: 118.153 50-day EMA  
  • SUP 2: 118.043 61.8% retracement of the Sep 25 - Oct 17 bull cycle    
  • SUP 3: 117.900 Low Oct 10   
  • SUP 4: 117.824 76.4% retracement of the Sep 25 - Oct 17 bull cycle 

Bobl futures are trading closer to their recent lows and a bear cycle remains intact for now. The move down that started Oct 17 is - for now - considered corrective and has allowed an overbought trend condition to unwind. Attention is on the next important support at 118.153, the 50-day EMA. A clear breach of this average would signal scope for a deeper retracement. Initial resistance is at last Friday’s high of 118.600.