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The trend theme in EURUSD remains bullish. This week’s move higher reinforces current conditions and confirms a clear breach of 1.1743, the Aug 22 high. This highlights a short-term bullish development and signals scope for an extension towards 1.1829, the Jul 01 high and bull trigger. Support to watch is around the 50-day EMA, at 1.1625. A clear breach of this average would signal scope for a deeper retracement.
Bund futures rallied sharply higher Friday resulting in a break of resistance at 128.87, the Aug 28 high and short-term bull trigger. The climb undermines a recent bearish theme and highlights a stronger reversal. Price has moved through the 129.00 handle, signalling scope for an extension towards 129.50, the Aug 5 high. Key support and the bear trigger has been defined at 127.61, the Sep 3 low.
Indonesia stocks slid again today following yesterday's shock announcement of the removal of the popular Finance Minister. Concerns are rising as to whether the Prabowo government will maintain fiscal discipline and damage the long term outlook for the economy. Japanese stocks were weaker today after yesterday's gains, in what local traders are describing as profit taking. China's homebuilder index is up by around 5% as after Shenzhen announced home buying curbs will be eased yesterday, with the positive momentum carried into today.