BUNDS: EGBs are off the lows but still trading heavy

Aug-15 12:40

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* EGBs continue to trade heavy, the 30yr long end is still leading. * The US Retail Sales was close ...

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US TSYS: Post-PPI React

Jul-16 12:35
  • Treasury futures inch higher after lower than expected PPI inflation measures
  • Currently, Sep'25 10Y contract trades +7.5 at 110-16.5 (110-08.5L / 110-16.5H). Initial technical resistance above at 111-01 (20-day EMA). Support below at 110-08.5 (Low Jul 14)
  • Curves remain flatter/off lows: 2s10s -1.189 at 52.551; 5s30s -1.279 at 96.631.
  • USD: Modest dip lower for the greenback on the release, most notable from the move from 148.80 to 148.50 for USDJPY eroding a very small portion of yesterday’s advance for now.

MNI: US JUN FINAL DEMAND PPI +0.0%, EX FOOD, ENERGY +0.0%

Jul-16 12:30
  • MNI: US JUN FINAL DEMAND PPI +0.0%, EX FOOD, ENERGY +0.0%
  • US JUN FINAL DEMAND PPI EX FOOD, ENERGY, TRADE SERVICES +0.0%
  • US JUN FINAL DEMAND PPI Y/Y +2.3%, EX FOOD, ENERGY Y/Y +2.6%
  • US JUN PPI: FOOD +0.2%; ENERGY +0.6%
  • US JUN PPI: GOODS +0.3%; SERVICES -0.1%; TRADE SERVICES +0.0%

US: MNI POLITICAL RISK - Trump Downplays More Trade Deals By Aug 1

Jul-16 12:21

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  • President Donald Trump will meet the Crown Prince of Bahrain for an investment-focused bilateral meeting, then sign bills at 15:00 ET 20:00 BST.
  • Trump said pharmaceutical tariffs could be announced on August 1, starting low and building to a "very high tariff".
  • Trump announced a deal with Indonesia, but downplayed the likelihood of more deals before August 1. He said he could strike “two or three” deals before the deadline and would “probably” impose a little over 10% on smaller countries that did not receive tailored rates.
  • Canadian PM Mark Carney conceded that a US trade deal is unlikely to lift all tariffs.
  • Lack of retaliation from trading partners has allowed the US to collect duties at a rate that implies USD$240 billion additional revenue per year.
  • The Senate will vote on Trump's rescission package this evening after overcoming Republican opposition. Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) will take a second run at advancing three crypto bills, after conservatives tanked a rule vote yesterday.  
  • Trump and OMB Director Vought are hinting that mismanagement of a renovation project could justify Fed Chair Powell's dismissal.
  • Trump said he did not advise Ukraine to strike targets deep inside Russia.
  • The Pentagon has withdrawn senior officials from the Aspen Security Forum, citing ideological differences. The US and 18 allies began military exercises in Australia.
  • Poll of the Day: Favourable views of China have increased, but most countries prioritise strong ties with the US.

Full Article: US DAILY BRIEF