Treasury futures inch higher after lower than expected PPI inflation measures
Currently, Sep'25 10Y contract trades +7.5 at 110-16.5 (110-08.5L / 110-16.5H). Initial technical resistance above at 111-01 (20-day EMA). Support below at 110-08.5 (Low Jul 14)
Curves remain flatter/off lows: 2s10s -1.189 at 52.551; 5s30s -1.279 at 96.631.
USD: Modest dip lower for the greenback on the release, most notable from the move from 148.80 to 148.50 for USDJPY eroding a very small portion of yesterday’s advance for now.
MNI: US JUN FINAL DEMAND PPI +0.0%, EX FOOD, ENERGY +0.0%
Jul-16 12:30
MNI: US JUN FINAL DEMAND PPI +0.0%, EX FOOD, ENERGY +0.0%
US JUN FINAL DEMAND PPI EX FOOD, ENERGY, TRADE SERVICES +0.0%
US JUN FINAL DEMAND PPI Y/Y +2.3%, EX FOOD, ENERGY Y/Y +2.6%
US JUN PPI: FOOD +0.2%; ENERGY +0.6%
US JUN PPI: GOODS +0.3%; SERVICES -0.1%; TRADE SERVICES +0.0%
US: MNI POLITICAL RISK - Trump Downplays More Trade Deals By Aug 1
President Donald Trump will meet the Crown Prince of Bahrain for an investment-focused bilateral meeting, then sign bills at 15:00 ET 20:00 BST.
Trump said pharmaceutical tariffs could be announced on August 1, starting low and building to a "very high tariff".
Trump announced a deal with Indonesia, but downplayed the likelihood of more deals before August 1. He said he could strike “two or three” deals before the deadline and would “probably” impose a little over 10% on smaller countries that did not receive tailored rates.
Canadian PM Mark Carney conceded that a US trade deal is unlikely to lift all tariffs.
Lack of retaliation from trading partners has allowed the US to collect duties at a rate that implies USD$240 billion additional revenue per year.
The Senate will vote on Trump's rescission package this evening after overcoming Republican opposition. Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) will take a second run at advancing three crypto bills, after conservatives tanked a rule vote yesterday.
Trump and OMB Director Vought are hinting that mismanagement of a renovation project could justify Fed Chair Powell's dismissal.
Trump said he did not advise Ukraine to strike targets deep inside Russia.
The Pentagon has withdrawn senior officials from the Aspen Security Forum, citing ideological differences. The US and 18 allies began military exercises in Australia.
Poll of the Day: Favourable views of China have increased, but most countries prioritise strong ties with the US.