EUROZONE ISSUANCE: EGB Supply

Aug-15 15:52

Germany and France are due to hold auctions in the upcoming week, while we pencil a Finnish syndication in either the upcoming week or W/C 25 August. We pencil in issuance of E21.6bln for the week, up from E6.6bln this week.

For the full MNI EGB Issuance, Redemption and Cash Flow Matrix with a recap of issuance this week and a look ahead to the next two weeks of issuance, click here.

  • Germany will kick off issuance for the week on Tuesday with E4.5bln of the 2.20% Oct-30 Bobl (ISIN: DE000BU25059) on offer.
  • Germany will return to the market on Wednesday to hold a 30-year Bund auction. On offer will be E1bln of the 2.50% Aug-46 Bund (ISIN: DE0001102341) alongside E1.5bln of the 2.50% Aug-54 Bund (ISIN: DE000BU2D004).
  • France will come to the market on Thursday to hold a MT OAT auction. On offer will be a combined E8.5-10.5bln of the 2.40% Sep-28 OAT (ISIN: FR001400XLW2, as we had expected), the 2.50% May-30 OAT (ISIN: FR0011883966), and the 2.70% Feb-31 OAT (ISIN: FR001400Z2L7, as we had expected).
  • France will conclude issuance for the week later on Thursday with an IL OAT auction. On offer will be a combined E0.75-1.25bln of the 3.15% Jul-32 OATei (ISIN: FR0000188799), the 1.80% Jul-40 OATei (ISIN: FR0010447367), and the 0.10% Jul-53 OATei (ISIN: FR0014008181).
  • Cancelled auction: The Spanish Tesoro Publico has announced that it will not hold its auction that had been scheduled for Thursday 21 August. This is in line with precedent from recent years.

NOMINAL FLOWS: Next week sees no redemptions and coupon payments of just E0.1bln. This leaves estimated net flows for the week at positive E21.5bln, up from negative E43.6bln this week.

Historical bullets

US STOCKS: Midday Equities Roundup: Reverse Early Gains on Chair Powell Chatter

Jul-16 15:39
  • Stocks have retreated from modest early Wednesday session gains, the timing of the reversal coinciding with headlines that Pres Trump likely to fire Fed Chairman Powell soon, citing a White House official that added there was "no exact timeline" for any decision to act.
  • The Fed statute authorizes the president to remove Fed governors for cause, but there's no case law in what would constitute cause, Lev Menand, an ex-senior Treasury adviser who specializes in legal matters around central banking at Columbia Law School, told MNI in April.
  • The basis for "cause" my be tied to accusations of cost overruns on the renovation of the Fed building in DC.
  • Currently, the DJIA trades down 264.27 points (-0.6%) at 43765.43, S&P E-Minis down 41.75 points (-0.66%) at 6242.25, the Nasdaq down 170 points (-0.8%) at 20510.2.
  • A mix of Energy, Tech and Financials stocks led the late morning sale: Vistra Corp -4.05%, Applied Materials -4.01%, Teradyne Inc -3.92%, Micron Technology  -3.51%, Constellation Energy -3.47% and Morgan Stanley -3.59%.
  • Earnings expected after the close: Rexford Industrial Realty, Alcoa Corp, United Airlines Holdings Inc and Kinder Morgan Inc.

CANADA CONTRIBUTING CAD1B TO STEEL INNOVATION FUND

Jul-16 15:37
  • CANADA CONTRIBUTING CAD1B TO STEEL INNOVATION FUND
  • CANADA SETS EXTRA 25% TARIFF ON NON-US STEEL POURED IN CHINA
  • CANADA SETS 100% TARIFF QUOTA ON NON-US FREE TRADE-DEAL COUNTRIES
  • CANADA PM CARNEY SAYS MEASURES PROTECT AGAINST TRADE DIVERSION

EU-RUSSIA: EU Diplos Fail Once Again To Approve 18th Sanctions Package

Jul-16 15:37

Reuters reports that, according to EU diplomats, the Union has once again failed to approve the 18th package of sanctions on Russia. EU ambassadors met for a Coreper II meeting in Brussels today after EU foreign ministers failed to reach a unanimous consensus yesterday, with Slovakia again the obstacle. The gov't of PM Robert Fico has held up the sanctions over another issue, the EU's planned phase-out of Russian fossil fuels. 

  • On 15 July, Fico stated that EU assurances on ensuring a sufficient supply of hydrocarbons despite the phase out were "insufficient", risking a major escalation in tensions between Brussels and Bratislava. The phase out only needs a qualified majority, meaning Slovakia cannot block it. However, sanctions need unanimous approval, resulting in Slovakia holding up the package until its demands on the phase out are met.