AUDUSD TECHS: Bulls Remain In The Driver’s Seat
- RES 4: 0.6700 76.4% retracement of the Sep 30 ‘24 - Apr 9 bear leg
- RES 3: 0.6688 High Nov 7 ‘24
- RES 2: 0.6603 High Nov 11 ‘24
- RES 1: 0.6552 High June 16
- PRICE: 0.6519 @ 15:54 BST Jun 18
- SUP 1: 0.6457/6429 Low Jun 13 / 50-day EMA
- SUP 2: 0.6357 Low May 12
- SUP 3: 0.6275 Low Apr 14
- SUP 4: 0.6181 Low Apr 11
The trend set-up in AUDUSD remains bullish and the pair is holding on to the bulk of its latest gains. Key support at 0.6429, the 50-day EMA, is intact. A clear break of this EMA is required to highlight a potential short-term reversal. The pair has recently cleared a key resistance at 0.6515, the May 7 high, confirming a resumption of the uptrend. Sights are on 0.6550, a Fibonacci retracement.
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AUDUSD TECHS: Trend Structure Remains Bullish
- RES 4: 0.5682 High Nov 12 ‘24
- RES 3: 0.6550 61.8% retracement of the Sep 30 ‘24 - Apr 9 bear leg
- RES 2: 0.6528 High Nov 29 ‘24
- RES 1: 0.6515 High May 7
- PRICE: 0.6463 @ 16:42 BST May 19
- SUP 1: 0.6356 50-day EMA
- SUP 2: 0.6275 Low Apr 14
- SUP 3: 0.6181 Low Apr 11
- SUP 4: 0.6116 Low Apr 10
The trend condition in AUDUSD is unchanged, it remains bullish. The May 13 rally signals the end of the recent corrective pullback and attention is on key resistance at 0.6515, the May 7 high. Note that moving average studies remain in a bull-mode position, highlighting an uptrend. A resumption of the trend would open 0.6550, a Fibonacci retracement. Key support to monitor is 0.6356, the 50-day EMA.
OPTIONS: US Rates/Bond Options Summary: May 19 2025
Monday's US key rates/bond options flow included:
- TYM5 112.50 calls paper paid 0-01 on 5.2K
- TYM5 113.00 calls bought for 0-01 in 22k
- TYQ5 107.50 puts bought for 0-24 in 30k
- TYQ5 107.5 puts bought for 0-24 in 33.75k vs selling TYM5 109.00 puts at 2 in 35k
EURJPY TECHS: Monitoring Support At The 50-Day EMA
- RES 4: 166.69 High Oct 31 2024 and a key resistance
- RES 3: 166.10 High Nov 6
- RES 2: 165.21/43 High May 13 / High Nov 8 2024
- RES 1: 164.07 High May 15
- PRICE: 163.05 @ 16:40 GMT May 19
- SUP 1: 162.23/15 50-day EMA / Intraday low
- SUP 2: 161.60 Low May 6
- SUP 3: 160.99 Low Apr 22
- SUP 4: 159.48 Low Apr 9
EURJPY maintains a bearish tone following the pullback from its recent high. The move down is for now, considered corrective. However, the cross is testing a key support at 162.23, the 50-day EMA. A break of this level would undermine a bearish theme and signal scope for a deeper retracement. For bulls, a resumption of gains would refocus attention on key resistance and the bull trigger at 165.21, the May 13 high.
