BUNDS: A 30 ticks jump in Bund on the US Data

Aug-01 12:38

You are missing out on very valuable content.

* A 30 ticks Jump in Bund following the weaker than expected NFP, the AHE YoY was a touch higher, ...

Historical bullets

SOFR OPTIONS: BLOCKs: Sep25 Call Fly, Jul'25 Midcurve Calls

Jul-02 12:36
  • Block, 5,938 SFRU5 96.00/96.25/96.50 call flys, 4.0 vs. 95.985/0.15%
  • Block, 5,750 0QN5 97.18 calls, 1.5 ref 96.90

GILTS: 30-Year Yields Up Over 20bp

Jul-02 12:35

For context, the current 21bp move higher in 30-Year gilt yields would represent the biggest one-day move seen since April, when perceptions surrounding the UK’s fiscal fragility pushed yields higher.

  • Outside of that, you have to go back to ’22 to see a bigger one-day move higher in the benchmark.
  • Markets are not buying PM Starmer’s support for Chancellor Reeves at this stage, nor suggestions that Reeves’ tears in the Commons were linked to a personal matter, with any relief rallies sold into and short lived.

Fig. 1: Net 1-Day Change In UK 30-Year Gilt Yields (bp)

UK30s020725

Source: MNI - Market News/ Bloomberg Finance L.P.

BUNDS: Breaking through the support

Jul-02 12:33
  • The initial support noted this Week at 130.00 is being tested in Bund, also seen more selling interest into the Bounce off the low triggered by the US ADP miss.
  • Bobl is sold in 7k, Bund has seen around 24k lots in past 5 minutes.

Looking at the German 10yr Yield, reference 130.05:

  • 2.671% = 129.79.
  • 2.701% = 129.49.