BTP TECHS: (Z5) Still Looking For Gains

• RES 4: 122.35 2.500 proj of the May 14 - 20 - 21 price swing
• RES 3: 122.00 Round number resistance 
• RES 2: 121.73 High Jun 13 and the bull trigger 
• RES 1: 121.13 High Aug 15
• PRICE: 120.25 @ Close Aug 29
• SUP 1: 119.59 Low Jul 25 and key short-term support         
• SUP 2: 119.48 Low May 26 
• SUP 3: 118.87 Low May 21  
• SUP 4: 118.51 Low May 14 and key support 

The primary trend condition in BTP futures is unchanged and the direction remains up. For now, the contract continues to trade inside a broad range and the Aug 15 sell-off signals scope for a move towards the lower end of the range. Key support to watch lies at 119.59, the Jul 25 low. A clear break of this level would highlight a range breakout and a bearish threat. Key resistance is unchanged at 121.73, the Jun 13 high.

• RES 4: 177.08 2.000 proj of the Feb 28 - Mar 18 - Apr 7 price swing 
• RES 3: 175.43 High Jul 11 ‘24 and a key medium-term resistance
• RES 2: 174.86 1.764 proj of the Feb 28 - Mar 18 - Apr 7 price swing
• RES 1: 173.02/97 High Aug 13 / High Jul 28 and the bull trigger 
• PRICE: 172.16 @ 07:05 BST Sep 1
• SUP 1: 170.69 50-day EMA
• SUP 2: 169.73/45 Low Jul 31 / 23.6% of the Feb 28 - Jul 28 bull leg
• SUP 3: 168.46 Low Jul 1  
• SUP 4: 167.46 Low Jun 23   

EURJPY continues to trade below its recent highs. The trend structure is bullish and key support to watch lies at the 50-day EMA at 170.69. A clear break of the average is required to highlight a stronger short-term bearish threat. Note that moving average studies are in a bull-mode position highlighting a primary uptrend. Key resistance to watch is the Jul 28 high of 173.97. Clearance of this level would confirm a continuation of the bull cycle.

• RES 4: 92.15 High Aug 11  
• RES 3: 92.06 High Aug 14       
• RES 2: 91.45 High Aug 15
• RES 1: 91.24 High Aug 18 and a key near-term resistance 
• PRICE: 90.52 @ Close Aug 29
• SUP 1: 90.22 Low Aug 27
• SUP 2: 90.11 Low May 22 and a key support
• SUP 3: 90.0089.99/ Psychological round number / Low Apr 9 (cont)
• SUP 4: 89.68 Low Jan 15 (cont)       

A bear cycle in Gilt futures is in play and last week’s fresh cycle low reinforces current conditions. Note that on the continuation chart, moving average studies are in a bear-mode position, highlighting a clear downtrend - for now. First support to watch is 90.22, the Aug 26 low. A break would resume the bear leg and open the 90.00 handle. Initial resistance is at 91.24, the Aug 18 high.