CAD: USD/CAD, CAD/JPY Approaching Key Levels

Jul-03 15:53

USD/CAD is plumbing a new daily low in recent trade, with the pair pressured through to new weekly lows - narrowing the gap with 1.3540, the mid-June low and key support.

  • CAD has now overtaken GBP as the strongest performing currency on the day, with the post-NFP USD strength now all but abated on the less-favourable details in the employment report and pressure via the spread in the US-CA front-end.
  • Moves come despite softer crude prices, as better equity futures prices become the more primary driver. USD/CAD through 1.3540 opens the lowest levels since early October last year, and would mark a resumption of the downtrend posted off the YTD high.
  • While Nonfarm payrolls were unusually early this month, the Canadian jobs data is unusually late: not due until July 11th. Headed toward next week's data, CAD/JPY is in focus after today's bullish break. Price has rallied and looks set to close above the 106.58 200-dma, and a rally above 107.34 would be technically significant and firm the nascent uptrend in the cross.

Historical bullets

OPTIONS: Larger FX Option Pipeline

Jun-03 15:45
  • EUR/USD: Jun05 $1.1050(E5.9bln), $1.1300(E2.3bln), $1.1375-85(E1.6bln), $1.1400(E2.2bln), $1.1415-25(E1.6bln), $1.1500(E1.5bln); Jun06 $1.1500(E1.0bln); Jun09 $1.1425(E1.7bln)
  • USD/JPY: Jun05 Y142.00($1.2bln), Y143.00-05($1.1bln), Y145.00-20($1.6bln)
  • AUD/USD: Jun06 $0.6300(A$1.5bln)

SOFR OPTIONS: Update Dec'25 SOFR Put Spread Buyer

Jun-03 15:40
  • +26,000 SFRZ5 95.37/95.62 put spds, 1.12-1.25 ref 96.15

SONIA: SFIZ5 Call Spread vs Mid Curve Call Spread

Jun-03 15:22

SFIZ5 96.30/96.50 call spread vs 2NZ5 96.60/96.80 call spread, paper pays 1.75 for 4k