EURJPY TECHS: Trend Needle Points North

Sep-04 19:00
  • RES 4: 177.08 2.000 proj of the Feb 28 - Mar 18 - Apr 7 price swing 
  • RES 3: 175.43 High Jul 11 ‘24 and a key medium-term resistance
  • RES 2: 174.86 1.764 proj of the Feb 28 - Mar 18 - Apr 7 price swing
  • RES 1: 173.41/97 High Sep 2 / High Jul 28 and the bull trigger 
  • PRICE: 173.12 @ 16:24 BST Sep 4
  • SUP 1: 170.90 50-day EMA
  • SUP 2: 169.73/45 Low Jul 31 / 23.6% of the Feb 28 - Jul 28 bull leg
  • SUP 3: 168.46 Low Jul 1  
  • SUP 4: 167.46 Low Jun 23   

The trend needle in EURJPY continues to point north and sights are on key resistance and the bull trigger at 173.97, the Jul 28 high. Clearance of this level would confirm a continuation of the bull cycle. Note that moving average studies are in a bull-mode position too, highlighting a primary uptrend. A break of 173.97 would open 174.86, a Fibonacci projection. Key support to watch lies at the 50-day EMA at 170.90.  

Historical bullets

EURJPY TECHS: Trend Structure Remains Bullish

Aug-05 19:00
  • RES 4: 177.08 2.000 proj of the Feb 28 - Mar 18 - Apr 7 price swing 
  • RES 3: 175.43 High Jul 11 ‘24 and a key medium-term resistance
  • RES 2: 174.86 1.764 proj of the Feb 28 - Mar 18 - Apr 7 price swing
  • RES 1: 173.97 High Jul 28 and the bull trigger 
  • PRICE: 170.79 @ 16:50 BST Aug 5
  • SUP 1: 169.73/45 Low Jul 31 / 23.6% of the Feb 28 - Jul 28 bull leg
  • SUP 2: 169.27 50-day EMA
  • SUP 3: 168.46 Low Jul 1  
  • SUP 4: 167.46 Low Jun 23   

A bullish trend condition in EURJPY remains intact and for now the recent move down is considered corrective. Key support to watch lies at the 50-day EMA at 169.27. A clear break of the EMA is required to highlight a stronger short-term bearish threat. Moving average studies remain in a bull-mode position highlighting an uptrend. A break of the Jul 28 high of 173.97, would resume the bull cycle.  

PIPELINE: Corporate Bond Update: $2B Standard Chartered Launched

Aug-05 18:38
  • Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
  • 08/05 $2B #Standard Chartered 11NC10 +120
  • 08/05 $1.9B #Daimler Truck $550M 2Y +60, $750M +5Y +92, $600M +7Y +105
  • 08/05 $1.25B #Tennessee Valley Authority 5Y +20
  • 08/05 $1.25B #MSCI 10Y +112.5
  • 08/05 $1B #Macquarie Bank 11NC10 +145
  • 08/05 $500M #Essential Utilities 10Y +107
  • 08/05 $500M #Healthpeak LLC +7Y +92
  • 08/05 $500M #CNA Financial WNG 10Y +103
  • 08/05 $500M Freedom Mortgage 7.75NC3
  • 08/06 $500M Travel + Leisure 8NC3

USDJPY TECHS: Cracks Support

Aug-05 18:30
  • RES 4: 152.31 High Feb 19 
  • RES 3: 151.62 61.8% retracement of the Jan 10 - Apr 22 bear leg 
  • RES 2: 151.21 High Mar 28 
  • RES 1: 150.92 Intraday high 
  • PRICE: 147.56 @ 16:49 BST Aug 5
  • SUP 1: 146.62 Low Aug 5
  • SUP 2: 146.56 50-day EMA
  • SUP 3: 146.53 1.0% 10-dma envelope
  • SUP 4: 145.86 Low Jul 24  

USDJPY reversed sharply from Friday’s intraday high and this is allowing a short-term overbought condition to unwind. While the pullback in prices Friday may have been corrective, the break and close below 147.63, the 20-day EMA, is a concern. A clear break of this support zone would undermine the recent bull theme. A break of last week’s 150.92 high would resume the uptrend.