A short-term bullish corrective phase in USDCAD remains in play despite sharp weakness Friday. On the recent run higher, price traded through the 50-day EMA at 1.3743 and this has been followed by a break of resistance at 1.3798, the Jun 23 high. Clearance of 1.3798 represents an important short-term bullish development, signaling scope for a stronger recovery. Sights are on 1.3920 next, the May 21 high. On the downside, initial firm support to watch lies at 1.3732, the 20-day EMA.
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Gilt futures faced strong selling pressure on Jul 2. The move down has cancelled a recent bullish theme - price breached the 20-day EMA and traded through a key support at 92.23, the Jun 16 low. The break suggests potential for an extension towards 91.50 next, a Fibonacci retracement. Price action is volatile. Initial resistance to watch is 92.79, the Jul 4 high. A resumption of gains would open the 93.41 high instead.
Watch Bund and Tnotes, they are at session lows, but mostly Two way flows.
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