JGBS: Richer, Coalition Talks in Focus, 2/30 Curve Flatter Approaches Resistance

Oct-17 01:11

In Tokyo morning trade, JGB futures are sharply stronger, +42 compared to settlement levels.

  • The market appears to be watching for developments in talks over forming a coalition government.
  • "The Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan Innovation Party confirmed they are on the same page on major policy items, but one major sticking point remains in place: reforms on political funding rules." via BBG from late yesterday.
  • Offshore investors continued to buy local bonds after strong inflows in the prior week. Still, aggregate inflows are only marginally positive for recent months.
  • In terms of outbound Japan flows, we saw local investors buying bonds, although only partially reversed the previous week's net selling. Global bond returns have firmed this week, given downside in US Tsy yields (break 4.00% on the 10yr).
  • Cash US tsys are 1-2bps richer in today’s Asia-Pac session after yesterday’s solid gains.
  • Cash JGBs are 2-4bps richer across benchmarks, with the futures linked 7-year leading.
  • 2/30 yield curve is closing in on near support around 220bps. (see chart)
  • Swap rates are 3bps lower to 1bp higher, with a steeper curve.
  • BOJ Deputy Governor Uchida will gve a speech later today.

 

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Bloomberg Finance LP

Historical bullets

CHINA PRESS: Authorities Increasing Focus On Services

Sep-17 00:53

Authorities are placing greater emphasis on service consumption than in the past, according to Su Jian, professor at the School of Economics at Peking University, who cited the Ministry of Commerce’s recent 19-point plan to boost the sector. The measures cover a broad range of industries while also prioritising enhanced financial support, including “providing interest subsidies for service industry operators and promoting lower financing costs for businesses.” Such initiatives, Su noted, are expected to help stimulate the vitality of the service consumption market.

CHINA PRESS: China To Enhance Government Bond Management

Sep-17 00:52

China will enhance the management of ultra-long-term special government bonds, improve coordination with government investment funds and strengthen repayment mechanisms, according to a report from the National People’s Congress. The report noted that oversight of debt resolution funds remains insufficient, with some localities continuing to accumulate hidden debt or resorting to false debt swaps to obscure their true liabilities.

CHINA PRESS: China To Advance Hukou Policy Changes

Sep-17 00:52

Residents will be able to accumulate hukou eligibility years across different cities in certain mega clusters under the State Council’s pilot program on market-based allocation of production factors, Yicai has learnt. Li Changan, a researcher at the National Institute of Opening-up, stated that the cumulative recognition of hukou eligibility years will significantly ease settlement thresholds in major urban centers.