USDJPY TECHS: Reversal Extends

May-21 18:30
  • RES 4: 150.49 High Apr 2   
  • RES 3: 149.28 High Apr 3
  • RES 2: 148.54/65 76.4% of Mar 28 - Apr 22 bear leg / High May 12
  • RES 1: 146.16 50-day EMA 
  • PRICE: 143.70 @ 16:15 BST May 21
  • SUP 1: 143.45/46 Low May 8 / 21
  • SUP 2: 142.36 Low May 6 
  • SUP 3: 141.96 76.4% retracement of the Apr 22 - May 12 bull leg  
  • SUP 4: 139.89 Low Apr 22 and a bear trigger

USDJPY traded lower again Wednesday, extending the reversal that started May 12. The pullback signals the end of the corrective cycle since Apr 22 and marks a resumption of the downtrend. A continuation lower would expose 142.36, the May 6 low. Note that the 20-day EMA, at 145.11, has been cleared, strengthening a bearish theme. Key short-term resistance has been defined at 148.65, the May 12 high. Initial firm resistance is 146.16, 50-day EMA.   

Historical bullets

PIPELINE: Corporate Bond Update, $5B American Express 4Pt Priced

Apr-21 18:25
  • Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
  • 04/21 $5B *American Express $1.6B 4NC3 +98, $400M 4NC3 SOFR+126, $1.5B 6NC5 +108, $1.5B 11NC10 +128
  • 04/21 $700M Excelerate Energy 5NC2
  • 04/21 $2B QXO Inc. 7NC3 investor calls

US: FED Reverse Repo Operation

Apr-21 18:23

RRP usage rebounds to $114.114B this after noon from $58.600B last Thursday. Usage had fallen to $54.772B last Wednesday, April 16 -- lowest level since April 2021. Usage had surged to the highest level since December 31, 2024 last Monday, March 31: $399.167B. The number of counterparties at 38.

Reverse Repo 04212025

US TSYS: Risk Sentiment Continues to Sour, Stocks Sliding Lower

Apr-21 17:47
  • Risk sentiment continues to sour, stocks at or near session lows at the moment as are Tsy futures (TYM5 -10.5 at 110-27, still above pre-open lo of 110-22).
  • Market reactions to headline risk, latest focus partially tied to headlines that the WH is in the process of replacing Sec of Defense Hegseth following reports of another Signal Chat leak made the rounds. Politico reported GOP Rep Bacon said "Hegseth should Go".
  • Conversely, WH Press Sec Leavitt just said the NPR report is false. Global trade remains the greater concern as markets await something concrete in tariff negotiations vs. hopes and promises that talks with dozens of countries is going well.
  • Currently, the DJIA is down 1185.65 points (-3.03%) at 37956.3, S&P E-Minis down 172.5 points (-3.25%) at 5139.75, Nasdaq down 566.8 points (-3.5%) at 15720.71.