A bull cycle in USDCAD that started mid-June remains in play. However, the latest corrective pullback has resulted in a print below support at the 50-day EMA, at 1.3778. A clear break of this handle would signal scope for a deeper retracement and expose 1.3722, the Aug 7 low. Moving average studies have recently crossed and are in a bull-mode position, highlighting an uptrend. The bull trigger has been defined at 1.3925, the Aug 22 high.
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Large Sonia Basis trade, helps explain the Volume at that Expiry.
Trend signals in Silver are unchanged, they remain bullish. Gains early last week reinforce current trend conditions - the metal traded above resistance at $39.132, the Jul 14 high. The break confirms a resumption of the uptrend and maintains the price sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Sights are on $39.655 next, a Fibonacci projection. On the downside, initial support to watch lies at $37.843, the 20-day EMA.