USDCAD TECHS: Retracement Mode

Aug-28 07:13
  • RES 4: 1.4111 High Apr 10  
  • RES 3: 1.4019 38.2% retracement of the Feb 3 - Jun 16 bear leg 
  • RES 2: 1.3968 High May 20
  • RES 1: 1.3868/3925 High Aug 26 / 22 and the bull trigger
  • PRICE: 1.3786 @ 08:13 BST Aug 28
  • SUP 1: 1.3778/70 50-day EMA / Intraday low  
  • SUP 2: 1.3722 Low Aug 7
  • SUP 3: 1.3576 Low Jul 23
  • SUP 4: 1.3557/40 Low Jul 3 / Low Jun 16 and the bear trigger 

A bull cycle in USDCAD that started mid-June remains in play. However, the latest corrective pullback has resulted in a print below support at the 50-day EMA, at 1.3778. A clear break of this handle would signal scope for a deeper retracement and expose 1.3722, the Aug 7 low. Moving average studies have recently crossed and are in a bull-mode position, highlighting an uptrend. The bull trigger has been defined at 1.3925, the Aug 22 high.

Historical bullets

SONIA: Large Basis Trade

Jul-29 07:02

Large Sonia Basis trade, helps explain the Volume at that Expiry.

  • SFIM7 10k at 96.42.

SILVER TECHS: Uptrend Remains Intact

Jul-29 07:00
  • RES 4: $41.064 - 1.764 proj of the Apr 7 - 25 - May 15 swing
  • RES 3: $40.285 - 1.618 proj of the Apr 7 - 25 - May 15 swing
  • RES 2: $40.000 - Psychological round number
  • RES 1: $39.655 - 1.500 proj of the Apr 7 - 25 - May 15 swing    
  • PRICE: $38.092 @ 08:00 BST Jul 29  
  • SUP 1: $37.843 - 20-day EMA
  • SUP 2: $36.452 - 50-day EMA 
  • SUP 3: $35.285 - Low Jun 24  
  • SUP 4: $33.967 - Low Jun 3

Trend signals in Silver are unchanged, they remain bullish. Gains early last week reinforce current trend conditions - the metal traded above resistance at $39.132, the Jul 14 high. The break confirms a resumption of the uptrend and maintains the price sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Sights are on $39.655 next, a Fibonacci projection. On the downside, initial support to watch lies at $37.843, the 20-day EMA.

MNI: SPAIN Q2 FLASH GDP +0.7% Q/Q, +2.8% Y/Y

Jul-29 07:00
  • MNI: SPAIN Q2 FLASH GDP +0.7% Q/Q, +2.8% Y/Y