BTP TECHS: (M5) Trend Needle Points North

May-29 06:06
  • RES 4: 122.00 Round number resistance
  • RES 3: 121.93 76.4% of the Dec 5 ‘24 - Mar 14 bear leg (cont)
  • RES 2: 121.43 1.618 proj of the Mar 14 - Apr 4 - 9 price swing
  • RES 1: 121.00 High Feb 7 (cont) and a key resistance         
  • PRICE: 120.77 @ Close May 28 
  • SUP 1: 120.01 20-day EMA      
  • SUP 2: 119.45/00 50-day EMA / Low May 14
  • SUP 3: 118.76/09 Low Apr 15 / 14
  • SUP 4: 117.28 Low Apr 10

A bull cycle in BTP futures remains intact and this week’s gains reinforce current conditions. Key resistance and the bull trigger at 120.72, the May 8 high, has been breached. This confirms a resumption of the uptrend and opens the 121.00 handle next. Key support to watch lies at 119.45, the 50-day EMA. A clear break of the average would signal scope for a deeper retracement, and open 118.76 initially, the Apr 15 low.

Historical bullets

USDJPY TECHS: Resistance Remains Intact

Apr-29 06:02
  • RES 4: 147.05 50-day EMA   
  • RES 3: 146.54 Low Mar 11  
  • RES 2: 144.24 20-day EMA
  • RES 1: 144.03 High Apr 25
  • PRICE: 142.46 @ 07:00 BST Apr 29
  • SUP 1: 141.49 Low Apr 23   
  • SUP 2: 139.79 1.382 proj of the Feb 12 - Mar 11 - 28 price swing
  • SUP 3: 138.82 1.500 proj of the Feb 12 - Mar 11 - 28 price swing
  • SUP 4: 138.07  Low Jul 28 ‘23

The recovery that started Apr 22 in USDJPY is considered corrective. Resistance to watch is 144.24, the 20-day EMA. A clear break of this level would signal scope for a stronger recovery. Resistance at the 50-day EMA, is at 147.05. Moving average studies are in a bear-mode position highlighting a dominant downtrend. A resumption of the trend would open 139.79 next, a Fibonacci projection.

MNI: SWEDEN MAR RETAIL SALES +3.6% Y/Y

Apr-29 06:00
  • MNI: SWEDEN MAR RETAIL SALES +3.6% Y/Y

MNI: SWEDEN FLASH Q1 GDP +1.1% Y/Y

Apr-29 06:00
  • MNI: SWEDEN FLASH Q1 GDP +1.1% Y/Y