BTP TECHS: (M5) Monitoring Support

May-23 06:13

* RES 4: 121.93 76.4% of the Dec 5 '24 - Mar 14 bear leg (cont) * RES 3: 121.43 1.618 proj of the Ma...

Historical bullets

BRENT TECHS: (M5) Holding On To Its Recent Gains

Apr-23 06:13
  • RES 4: $77.75 - High Jan 20  
  • RES 3: $76.26 - High Feb 20
  • RES 2: $75.47 - High Apr 2 and a bull trigger
  • RES 1: $69.85 - 50-day EMA            
  • PRICE: $68.15 @ 07:02 BST Apr 23  
  • SUP 1: $62.00/58.40 - Low Apr 10 / 9 and the bear trigger     
  • SUP 2: $58.85 - 2.000 proj of the Feb 20 - Mar 5 - Apr 2 price swing
  • SUP 3: $56.89 - 2.236 proj of the Feb 20 - Mar 5 - Apr 2 price swing
  • SUP 4: $55.00 - Round number support

Brent futures are holding on to their recent gains and continue to trade above the Apr 9 low. For now, the latest bounce is considered corrective and this is allowing a recent oversold condition to unwind. The primary trend direction remains down and a resumption of weakness would open $56.89, a Fibonacci projection. On the upside, the next important resistance to monitor is at the 50-day EMA, at $69.85.

MNI: CORRECT: UK MAR CGNCR GBP21.05 BN

Apr-23 06:10
  • CORRECT: UK MAR CGNCR GBP21.05 BN

UK DATA: CGNCR GBP7.9bln higher for FY24/25 - will lead into remit revision

Apr-23 06:05
  • Central government net cash requirement (excluding UK Asset Resolution Ltd and Network Rail) was £21.1 billion in March 2025; this was £7.4 billion less than in March 2024, and brings the total for the FYE March 2025 to £180.5 billion, £7.9 billion more than forecast by the OBR.
  • This is what feeds into the remit revision - so a slightly smaller remit revision is likely as this isn't quite as bad as expected (despite the accrual measures such as PSNBex coming in higher this month with an upward revision).