EU CAPITAL GOODS: Legrand: 3Q25 Results

Nov-06 07:28

(LRFP; NR/A-/NR)                           

Credit neutral. Equity has been on a strong run with its exposure to growth trends and thus is highly growth sensitive.

  • Revenue missed BBG consensus by 3%. LfL growth was 7%, a slower pace sequentially.
  • Adj. EBIT was 6% shy, with margin steady at 20%.
  • YTD reported FCF is 16% higher at €0.9bn.
  • Net debt marginally lower YoY.
  • FY25 guidance confirmed.

Historical bullets

EQUITIES: EU Bank Block trade

Oct-07 07:26

EU Bank Block trade, suggested seller, helping the unwind lower.

  • CAZ5 ~3.35k at 229.15.

CROSS ASSET: Higher Yields boost the USDJPY

Oct-07 07:16
  • The Push lower in Bonds futures will be supportive of the Dollar and especially the USDJPY, now probing a new intraday high, and eyeing the next big level noted earlier at 150.92.
  • There's continued selling interest in Core Bonds and while the Volumes haven't picked up, the lower liquidity means that it takes little order size to move markets.
  • US TYZ5 printed a 112.11 low Yesterday, some desks might look for support at 112.06, but better will be seen around 112.03 (4.20% in Yield).

EU-BOND SYNDICATION: 2.75% Dec-32 / New 15-year Dec-40 EU-bond: Books open

Oct-07 07:10

2.75% Dec-32 EU-bond

  • Guidance: MS + 36bps area
  • Size: E5bln (MNI expected E4-5bln)

New 15-year Dec-2040 

  • Guidance: MS + 77bps area
  • Size: E5bln (MNI expects E5-6bln)
  • ISIN: TBC
  • Coupon: Long first
  • Maturity: 12 December 2040

For both:

  • JLMs: BNP Paribas, Citi, Deutsche Bank, DZ BANK and Santander
  • Settlement: 14 October 2025 (T+5)
  • Timing: Books open, pricing later today

From market source / MNI colour