Japan Tobacco extended its Hybrid deck with an any-and-all Tender of the NC26 combined with a new €500m 30NC5.5. The deal benefitted from an A3 rating under Moody’s new regime. Books were almost €8bn for the transaction which priced with a 75bps Sub_Sen spread.
Orsted perps were 1-1.5pts lower as further US political risk for offshore projects weighed on sentiment. More details in Utils section above.
French names were soft this week on Political concerns. EDF was up to 75c lower, ALOFP -65c, FRPTT -64c, TTEFP -50c. BRITEL NC31 +35c was a rare gainer.
2Q GDP JUST OUT: 3%, WAY BETTER THAN EXPECTED! “Too Late” MUST NOW LOWER THE RATE. No Inflation! Let people buy, and refinance, their homes!
US TSYS: Post-Core PCE, GDP React
Jul-30 12:34
Fast two-way flow -- Treasury futures bounce then extend lows after higher than expected GDP and Core PCE figures. Tsy Sep'25 10Y futures currently trades -6.5 at 111-05 (111-03.5 low, 111-14.5 high).
Key support is 110-08+, the Jul 14 and 16 low. Clearance of this level would reinstate a bearish theme. First support is at 110-19+, the Jul 24 low. Resistance at 111-13+, the Jul 10 high, has been pierced. A clear break of it would highlight a stronger reversal and open 111-28, the Jul 3 high.
Curves mildly flatter now: 2s10s -0.091 at 44.854, 5s30s -0.507 at 95.021
New pullback lows for EUR/USD as the greenback builds again on the better-than-expected GDP headline. EUR/USD comfortably through yesterday's lows to open 1.1454 as the next downside target.
MNI: US Q2 NOM PCE +1.4%
Jul-30 12:30
MNI: US Q2 NOM PCE +1.4%
US Q2 REAL FINAL SALES TO PRIVATE DOMESTIC PURCH +1.2%