HYBRIDS: Hybrids: Week in Review

May-16 14:47

Supply was heavy with €4.4bn printing. Prysmian was the top performer. €1bn PerpNC5.25 came in line with what I thought was FV (Sub_Sen 167bps) and rallied 2.125pts in secondary to finish with Sub_Sen 145bps just outside TELEFO/VOD. This looks a little tight, but the company is in a very good spot for the next few years with cable demand expected to be strong. 

  • VW reduced their Hybrid stack with €1.9bn of NC5.5 & NC8.5 issuance to partially replace €3.25bn NC25 & NC26. Secondary market was very strong when these deals priced with seniors rallying -9bps over the day. Consequently, the deals were repriced below guidance.
  • Air France took advantage of a market that has seen Lufthansa issue and British Airways on Outlook Positive. AFFP came with €500m NC5.25 @5.875% rallied 0.125pts.  Veolia and Abertis also issued.
  • OMV caused some confusion with an announcement that it would Call the 6.26% NC25 and issue a new hybrid within 18 months. The NC25 has a “First Call” in December but the documentation clearly allows for a redemption 90 days prior to this date. The company alluded to the earlier optionality in their press release. The market was unaware of this as Bloomberg did not show. Bonds fell around 50c to reflect the risk of early redemption.
  • Naturgy is tendering for the 2.374 Call26 as part of a 4-way tender against the new dual tranche seniors.

 

Historical bullets

STIR: SOFR Option Update

Apr-16 14:45

Pick-up in downside put structures this morning as underlying futures see-saw off earlier highs. Curves steeper (2s10s +4.486 at 52.876) with the short end still outperforming. Projected rate hike pricing, however, has cooled vs. morning levels (*) as follows: May'25 at -4bp (-4.7bp), Jun'25 at -20.5bp (-21.2bp), Jul'25 at -39.6bp (-40.1bp), Sep'25 -57.6bp (-58.9bp).

  • +3,100 SFRU5 95.62/95.68/95.75/95.87 put condors, 2.25
  • +3,000 SFRU5 95.31/95.68 2x1 put spds, 0.25 net
  • -10,000 SFRU5 96.50/97.00 call spds vs. 95.25/95.75 put spds and +5,000 95.25/95.81 put spds, 8.0

MNI EXCLUSIVE: ECB Sources On Policy Stance

Apr-16 14:31

MNI speaks to ECB sources.- On MNI Policy MainWire now, for more details please contact sales@marketnews.com

MNI: US EIA: CRUDE OIL STOCKS EX SPR +0.52M TO 442.9M APR 11 WK

Apr-16 14:30
  • US EIA: CRUDE OIL STOCKS EX SPR +0.52M TO 442.9M APR 11 WK
  • US EIA: DISTILLATE STOCKS -1.85M TO 109.2M IN APR 11 WK
  • US EIA: GASOLINE STOCKS -1.96M TO 234.0M IN APR 11 WK
  • US EIA: CUSHING STOCKS -0.65M TO 25.1M BARRELS IN APR 11 WK
  • US EIA: SPR +0.3M TO 397.0M BARRELS IN APR 11 WK
  • US EIA: REFINERY UTILIZATION WEEK CHANGE -0.4% TO 86.3% IN APR 11 WK