ITALY DATA: Flash GDP Disappoints In Q4

Jan-30 09:50

Italy flash Q4 GDP was a tenth weaker than expected at 0.0% Q/Q (vs 0.1% consensus, 0.0% prior), and 0.5% Y/Y (vs 0.6% consensus, 0.5% in Q3).

  • At an industry level, there was a "decrease of value added in both agriculture, forestry and fishing and in services, whereas the contribution of industry is positive."
  • The press release notes: "The fourth quarter of 2024 has had two days less with respect to the previous quarter and two more compared to the same quarter of previous year", but we're focusing on the seasonally and working day adjusted figures here which allow for that. 
image

 

 

Historical bullets

COMMODITIES: WTI Futures Holding Higher

Dec-31 09:49

WTI futures are trading higher today as the contract extends recent gains. A stronger reversal to the upside would refocus attention on key short-term resistance at $76.41, the Oct 8 high. Initial firm resistance is unchanged at $71.97. A bear threat in Gold remains present. The yellow metal traded sharply lower on Dec 18 and the move undermines a recent bull theme. A resumption of weakness would open key support at $2536.9, the Nov 14 low.

  • WTI Crude up $0.4 or +0.56% at $71.41
  • Natural Gas down $0.14 or -3.51% at $3.799
  • Gold spot up $8.09 or +0.31% at $2614.49
  • Copper down $3.3 or -0.81% at $405.95
  • Silver up $0.01 or +0.05% at $28.961
  • Platinum up $8.16 or +0.9% at $912.55

EQUITIES: Bear Threat in E-mini S&P Remains Present

Dec-31 09:47

A bear threat in the S&P E-Minis contract remains present and the latest move down highlights the end of the recent Dec 20 - 26 corrective bounce. An extension lower would expose 5866.00, the Dec 20 low and a key short-term support. A bull cycle in the Eurostoxx 50 futures contract remains intact, however, the recent move down highlights a corrective phase. Despite the latest bounce, a short-term bear threat remains present - for now.

  • In China the SHANGHAI closed lower by 55.563 pts or -1.63% at 3351.763 and the HANG SENG ended 18.53 pts higher or +0.09% at 20059.95.
  • Dow Jones mini up 56 pts or +0.13% at 42977, S&P 500 mini up 17.75 pts or +0.3% at 5976.25, NASDAQ mini up 87.75 pts or +0.41% at 21503.25.

CHINA: CFETS RMB Basket Tweak Drops USD, EUR, JPY Weighting, Adds MOP

Dec-31 09:33

China adjust the currency weightings as part of the CFETS RMB Index: Full basket of currencies now composed of 25 currencies, having included the Macau Pataca (MOP) for 2025:

  • USD weighting dropped to 18.903% from 19.460%
  • EUR weighting dropped to 17.902% from 18.080%
  • JPY weighting dropped to 8.584% from 8.963%

Full list found here: https://iftp.chinamoney.com.cn/chinese/zxpl/20241231/3028340.html