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SOFR OPTIONS: Large Mar'26 SOFR Straddle vs. Calls
Jun-30 16:11
- +20,000 SFRH6 96.12 straddles vs. 97.00 call, 28.5-29.0 vs. 97.00/0.20%
- +5,000 SFRN5 95.75/95.81 put spds, 0.25
FOREX: EURUSD Extends to Fresh Cycle Highs, EZ HICP Tuesday
Jun-30 16:05
- With trend conditions remaining firmly in bullish territory, EURUSD has edged to fresh session/cycle highs in recent minutes, continuing to track at the best traded levels since September 2021. Last week’s gains reinforced the uptrend, emphasised by a breach of the bull trigger at 1.1631, the Jun 12 high. Immediate sights are on 1.1783, a Fibonacci projection, before 1.1821, the Sep 16 2021 high.
- We highlighted earlier that analysts have been highlighting that the latest greenback selling has notably been paired with an adjustment lower for the front-end of the US curve, which is pertinent alongside a significant reduction in geopolitical risk premia. Alongside slightly softer-than-expected US data today, potential month-end flows may have added headwinds for the greenback.
- This dynamic may place a greater focus than usual on this week’s US employment report, notably scheduled on Thursday owing to the July 4th holiday. Using a spot reference of 1.1730, the break-even on a Thursday straddle sat at +/- 85 pips, which could coincide with an important support trendline for the USD index. Full USD note here: https://mni.marketnews.com/3InJeJV
- Eurozone HICP data crosses tomorrow - after incorporating today's German and Italian June flash inflation data, analysts continue to coalesce around 2.0% Y/Y for the EZ-wide flash headline reading (vs 1.9% prior).
MNI: USDA: CORN STOCKS 4,644M BSL ON JUN 1
Jun-30 16:00
- USDA: CORN STOCKS 4,644M BSL ON JUN 1
- USDA: ALL WHEAT STOCKS 0,851M BSL ON JUN 1
- USDA: SOYBEAN STOCKS 1,008M BSL ON JUN 1