EQUITY TECHS: E-MINI S&P: (U5) Bulls Remain In The Driver’s Seat
- RES 4: 6600.00 Round number resistance
- RES 3: 6554.98 2.0% 10-dma envelope
- RES 2: 6523.63 1.764 proj of the May 23 - Jun 11 - 23 price swing
- RES 1: 6508.75 High Aug 15 and all-time High
- PRICE: 6384.25 @ 14:45 BST Aug 21
- SUP 1: 6362.75 Low Aug 20
- SUP 2: 6313.25 Low Aug 6
- SUP 3: 6287.15 50-day EMA
- SUP 4: 6239.50 Low Aug 1
The dominant uptrend in S&P E-Minis remains intact and the latest shallow retracement appears to be a correction. Moving average studies remain in a bull-mode position, highlighting a clear uptrend and positive market sentiment. A resumption of gains would pave the way for a climb towards 6523.63, a Fibonacci projection. On the downside, supports to watch are; 6403.75, the 20-day EMA (pierced), and 6287.15, the 50-day EMA.
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USDJPY TECHS: Correction Extends
- RES 4: 151.21 High Mar 28
- RES 3: 150.49 High Apr 2
- RES 2: 149.38 50.0% retracement of the Jan 10 - Apr 22 bear leg
- RES 1: 149.18 High Jul 16
- PRICE: 146.51 @ 14:54 BST Jul 22
- SUP 1: 146.63/60 20-day EMA / intraday low
- SUP 2: 145.85 50-day EMA
- SUP 3: 144.23 Low Jul 7
- SUP 4: 142.68 Low Jul 1 and a key support
A bull cycle in USDJPY remains in place despite the latest pullback - a correction. Recent strength has resulted in a breach of resistance at 148.03, the Jun 23 high, and a move through key resistance at 148.65, the May 12 high. The break strengthens the bullish theme and opens 149.38, a Fibonacci retracement. On the downside, short-term pivot support to monitor is 145.85, the 50-day EMA.
US TSY FUTURES: BLOCK: Sep'25 2Y Buy
- +9,000 TUU5 103-23.88, buy through 103-23.75 post time offer at 0946:19ET, DV01 $335,000.
- The 2Y contract trades 103-24 last +1.
CHINA-EU: Trade Comissioner-"Must Work Towards Balanced Partnership" w/China
(MNI) London - Reuters reports comments from European Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic regarding the upcoming EU-China summit on 24 July. Says that the meeting "is an opportunity to discuss critical trade and investment issues," adding "We must work towards a more balanced partnership." The Trade Commissioner's comments echo those from a Commission official on 21 July, who claimed that "The present situation is unsustainable. We need rebalancing," adding that while a breakthrough at the summit is unlikely, it could be used to "develop a dialogue that will lead to solutions in the short, if not immediate term," (see 'MNI BRIEF: EU To Warn China Trade Situation Unsustainable', 21 July).
- As MNI's Policy team noted earlier, there is the likelihood of an agreement being announced on the green transition and climate change. However, the main focus will be on encouraging a shift in the trade relationship, as "EU representatives are expected to raise the current trade imbalance and the need to remove market access and regulatory barriers facing European firms operating in China" (see 'MNI BRIEF: China-EU Green Cooperation Announcement Expected', 22 July).
