A bear theme in USDCAD remains intact and today’s strong sell-off reinforces a bear theme. The pair has breached an important support at 1.3942, the base of a bull channel drawn from the Jul 23 low. The break highlights a stronger bear cycle and signals scope for an extension towards 1.3840 next, a Fibonacci retracement point. Initial firm resistance to watch is 1.4016, 20-day EMA.
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A bull cycle in USDCAD remains intact. This week’s extension highlights a clear reversal of the corrective bear leg between Oct 14 - 29. The pair has breached 1.4080, the Oct 16 high to confirm a resumption of the uptrend.. Sights are on 1.4136 (pierced), the top of a bull channel drawn from the Jul 23 low. A clear break of this hurdle would open 1.4167, A Fibonacci retracement. First support lies at 1.3998, the 20-day EMA.