HYBRIDS: Air France (AFFP: Perps B+/BB) New Issue FV

May-15 09:02

IPT €500m WNG PerpNC5.25  6.375-6.50%

  • FV: 5.875%
  • Lufthansa will be the main comp here. LHAGR came in Jan at 5.25% and has performed reasonably well. Dipped to <97 in early April but back above Par now.
  • Senior curves are around 50bps apart with LHAGR perhaps technically tight given retail 1k participation.
  • AFFP should be at least 50bps back of LHAGR in Perps putting 5.75% as a floor.
  • New notes will replace the Apollo debt issued 2022. This debt did not have equity credit.

Historical bullets

MNI: GERMANY ZEW APR ECONOMIC EXPECTATIONS -14

Apr-15 09:00
  • MNI: GERMANY ZEW APR ECONOMIC EXPECTATIONS -14
  • MNI: GERMANY ZEW APR CURRENT CONDITIONS -81.2

MNI: EUROZONE FEB IP +1.1% M/M, +1.2% Y/Y

Apr-15 09:00
  • MNI: EUROZONE FEB IP +1.1% M/M, +1.2% Y/Y

EQUITIES: Estoxx Risk Reversal

Apr-15 08:57

SX5E (18th July) 4300/5200RR, bought the call for 5.5 in 10k vs 4.3k at 4890.00.