UKRAINE: Zelenskyy Holds Call w/Trump, Talked Russian Airstrikes & Arms Supplies

Jul-04 13:51

Chief of Staff to President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Andriy Yermak, confirms that he held a phone call with his US counterpart, Donald Trump, earlier today, calling it  "A very important and meaningful conversation between the presidents.”. Barak Ravid at Axios reports, "A source familiar said it was a 'good conversation'," lasting around 40 mins. The two "discussed the escalating Russian strikes on Ukraine and the supply of Air Defense to Ukraine,". 

  • Following on from a 'disappointing' call with Russian President Vladimir Putin on 3 July, focus has turned to whether Trump will look to facilitate the supply of weapons to Ukraine to aid in its defence against Russia, or maintain the halt that reportedly has come at the unilateral behest of Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth.
  • Personal relations between the two leaders have seemingly improved (or at least not deteriorated) in recent months following their face-to-face at Pope Francis' funeral at the Vatican, and Trump's approving comments towards the NATO summit, where they held additional talks. 

Historical bullets

CAD: USDCAD finds some offers post BoC's Unchanged Rate

Jun-04 13:49
  • A very limited move in the USDCAD following the unchanged BoC rate, although offered, the cross is short of the Monday's low of 1.3675, which was also the lowest print since October.
  • For now 1.3694 is today's low.

MNI: US MAY SERVICES PMI 53.7 (52.3 FLASH, 50.8 APRIL)

Jun-04 13:46
  • US MAY SERVICES PMI 53.7 (52.3 FLASH, 50.8 APRIL)

BOC: Holds Key Rate at 2.75%, Signals Potential Cut Amid Tariff Threat

Jun-04 13:45
  • Bank of Canada kept benchmark interest rate 2.75% Wednesday, in line with majority of economist expectations. 
  • Second consecutive decision to hold signaled potential cut if economy weakens and inflation contained. 
  • "On balance, members thought there could be a need for a reduction in the policy rate if the economy weakens in the face of continued US tariffs and uncertainty, and cost pressures on inflation are contained," Governor Macklem said.
  • "At this decision there was a clear consensus to hold policy unchanged as we gain more information."
  • Similar to previous statement BOC will continue monitoring timing and strength of downward pressure on inflation from a weaker economy and upward pressure from higher costs. BOC removed reference from prior statement that it could "act decisively" if the economy clearly moved in one direction. 
  • BOC says core inflation higher than it had expected, possibly because of tariffs. 
  • "The economy is expected to be considerably weaker in the second quarter, with the strength in exports and inventories reversing and final domestic demand remaining subdued," BOC said. 
  • Recent surveys show consumers expecting higher prices and businesses intend to pass tariff costs to their customers, BOC also said. 
  • "Governing Council is proceeding carefully, with particular attention to the risks. This means we are being less forward-looking than usual."
  • The central bank will pay close attention to risks and uncertainties:  "extent to which higher US tariffs reduce demand for Canadian exports; how much this spills over into business investment, employment and household spending; how much and how quickly cost increases are passed on to consumer prices; and how inflation expectations evolve."