The trend outlook in ICE EUA futures is bearish and short-term gains are considered corrective. The contract recently cleared the final retracement of the Dec 17 - Jan 30 bull leg - the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement at €68.88. This strengthens the bearish theme and signals potential for a move towards the next key support at €64.05, the Dec 17 ‘24 low. On the upside, initial firm resistance to watch is €73.82, the 50-day EMA.
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OI data points to ~4K fresh net longs being added in gilt futures on Monday.