ENERGY: What to Watch: US & ARA Stocks, Saudi OSPs & Gasoil Option Expiry
Nov-05 08:25
- The EIA weekly petroleum inventory data for the week ending Oct. 31 is due today at 10:30ET (15:30GMT). Data is expected to show a crude draw of 0.25mbbl and with a draw of 1.36mbbl for gasoline and draw of 2.17mbbl for distillates and a 0.82 percentage point rise in refinery utilisation, a Bloomberg survey shows.
- The latest Genscape European ARA crude inventories will be released today. ARA crude storage rebounded last week to 50.78mbbl but remained below the seasonal five-year average of 53.15mbbl.
- Saudi OSPs for October are due in the coming days after OPEC+ agreed to raise output targets another 137mb/d from December but pause in Q1. Saudi Arabia may cut its December Arab Light OSP to Asia by $1.25/bbl, a Bloomberg survey shows, while a Reuters survey expects a reduction between $1.2-$1.5/bbl.
- The November 25 ICE Gasoil options expire against the futures close price today.
| Release | Type | Release date | Release Time |
| Saudi OSPs for Dec | monthly | 5-Nov-25? | |
| EIA weekly oil | weekly | 5-Nov-25 | 10:30 ET |
| Genscape crude ARA inventories | weekly | 5-Nov-25 | 09:00 GMT |
| ICE Gasoil options expiry | monthly | 5-Nov-25 | |
| EIA weekly gas | weekly | 6-Nov-25 | 10:30 ET |
| Insights product ARA inventories | weekly | 6-Nov-25 | |
| Singapore oil product stockpile | weekly | 6-Nov-25 | 08:00 GMT |
| BOE | monthly | 6-Nov-25 | 12:00 GMT |
| China 1st batch trade data | monthly | 7-Nov-25 | |
| Nymex CFTC report | weekly | 7-Nov-25 | 15:30 ET |
| ICE COT report | weekly | 7-Nov-25 | 18:30 GMT |
| Baker Hughes rig count | weekly | 7-Nov-25 | 13:00 ET |
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SONIA OPTIONS: Put Spread, Spread
Oct-06 08:20
SFIF6 96.20/96.10ps vs 0NF6 96.30/96.20ps, bought the front for half in 5k.
FRANCE: Lecornu Resigns After Naming Largely Unchanged Government
Oct-06 08:13
French Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu has presented his resignation to President Emanuel Macron after a broadly unchanged government Lecornu named on Sunday evening was criticised by party leaders from both the right and the left. Bloomberg reports that Lecornu will deliver press remarks in Paris at 10:45 CET, 09:45 BST, 04:45 ET.
- Politico described Lecornu's government as "a sign that the political forces represented in Macron's successive administrations remain broadly the same, despite Lecornu's being the French president's fifth prime minister in less than two years.”
- Lecornu’s resignation comes after a Friday move to rule out using Article 49.3 of the French constitution to pass a budget without a parliamentary vote, and a parallel bid to agree on a ‘non-aggression pact’ between competing parties failed to ease concerns with Socialists.
- Le Monde reports, “Over the weekend, Lecornu sent a letter to the leaders of Macron's centrist camp and LR pleading for unity. "With only a very narrow majority, the government will have to make compromises with other political groups, without abandoning its convictions.”
- Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure said this morning, "The prevailing sentiment is one of dismay ... The reality is that we are witnessing an unprecedented political crisis."
- National Rally President Jordan Bardella said, "There can be no return to stability without a return to the polls and without the dissolution of the Assemblée Nationale,"
- Mathilde Panot of the leftist Insoumise party wrote on X, “we demand the immediate examination of the motion filed by 104 deputies for the impeachment of Emmanuel Macron.”
GOLD: Heading towards $4000.00
Oct-06 08:10
- Despite the Dollar Bid, Gold is still acting as a much better Safer Haven, at a new all time record high, next projection comes at $3987.3 - 2.236 proj of the May 15 - Jun 16 - 30 price swing.
- But the Globe will be fixated on the big Psychological $4000.00 round number.
