EMISSIONS: Weekly News Highlights MNI Power Service Part 2/2 Week 45

Nov-07 13:28

See below the weekly news highlights of the MNI Power Service for the week 4 – 7 November.

  • EMISSIONS – The European Council on Wednesday reached an agreement on the EU 2040 climate target, the 2035 NDC and a one-year postponement to 2028 of the EU ETS 2 scheme. The 2040 target agreement includes the use of 5% of international carbon credits starting in 2036, while introducing a pilot phase between 2031–2035. This was up from 3% in the draft document.
  • IETA welcomed the EU Council’s agreement on the EU’s 2040 climate target and greater use of international carbon credits, but strongly opposed delays to EU ETS 2, citing risks to market certainty and investment stability.
  • T&E warned that the weakened EU 2040 climate target amid reliance on up to 5% international carbon credits, undermine EU climate leadership and investment certainty.
  • European People's Party (EEP), the largest party in the EU Parliament, is pushing to further delay the EU ETS until 2030, following the Environmental Council announcing yesterday that the system will be postponed by one year to 2028.
  • The EU Commission announced a €2.9bn in funding for 61 net-zero technology projects that set to cut around 221mn tCO2e over the first decade of operation, under the Innovation Fund, financed by revenues from the EU ETS.
  • A total of 20.2mn EUAs will be auctioned next week across five auction sessions.
  • Investment funds increased net long positions in EU ETS futures on the ICE exchange, while remaining at the highest since early May 2021.
  • Investment funds raised their net long positions in UK ETS futures on the ICE exchange as of 31 October to an all-time high.
  • EEX reported that EUAs secondary market traded volume in Oct 2025 rose 13% y/y and 2.8% m/m.
  • EU GHG emissions fell sharply in 2024, led by the power sector, as record renewable generation and high EU ETS prices accelerated the shift away from coal and other fossil fuels.
  • EU ETS has cut emissions from the power, heat, and industrial sectors by 50% since 2005, keeping the bloc on track for its 2030 climate targets of a 55% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions versus 1990 levels.
  • UK residence-based greenhouse gas emissions in Q2 2025 were estimated at 108mn tCO2e in 2024, down 6.2% from Q2 2024.
  • Renault’s CEO Francois Provost suggested that the European Union should push for smaller cars to become all-electric and allow more options for larger vehicles including plug-in hybrid and range extender drive trains

Historical bullets

EQUITY TECHS: E-MINI S&P: (Z5) Trend Needle Points North

Oct-08 13:26
  •   RES 4: 6831.38 2.500 proj of the Aug 20 - 28 - Sep 2 price swing 
  • RES 3: 6819.25 1.500 proj of the Aug 1 - 15 - 20 price swing
  • RES 2: 6812.29 2.382 proj of the Aug 20 - 28 - Sep 2 price swing
  • RES 1: 6802.75 High Oct 7 
  • PRICE: 6772.25 @ 14:16 BST Oct 8
  • SUP 1: 6700.59 20-day EMA
  • SUP 2: 6624.25 Low Sep 25 
  • SUP 3: 6582.78 50-day EMA 
  • SUP 4: 6506.50 Low Sep 5 

The trend condition in S&P E-Minis is unchanged and the direction remains up. Recent fresh cycle highs confirm a continuation of the uptrend and maintain the positive price sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Sights are on 6812.29, a Fibonacci projection. Initial support to watch is at the 20-day EMA, at 6700.59. It has recently been pierced, a clear break of it would signal scope for a deeper pullback.

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Large Outright Call Block Trade

Oct-08 13:20

ERM6 98.75c, bought for 1 in 23.3k.

PIPELINE: Corporate Bond Update: $750M Mamoura Launched

Oct-08 13:18
  • Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
  • 10/08 $1B #Kommunalbanken Norway WNG 3Y SOFR+37
  • 10/08 $750M #Mamoura 10Y +55
  • 10/08 $Benchmark Federal Home Loan 2Y +4a
  • 10/08 $1.5B Energos Infrastructue 7NC3 investor call