HUNGARY: Varga to Speak at Chinese-Hungarian Central Bank Conference

Sep-12 07:03
  • Hungarian central bank Governor Mihaly Varga and PBOC Deputy Governor Zou Lan speak at a conference on financial links between the two countries. The event is hosted by the NBH and starts at 08:00BST/09:00CET.
  • Speaking on radio this morning, Prime Minister Viktor Orban said tax plans by the opposition Tisza party are an issue of trust, not just of tax, and therefore a National Consultation survey will be held as Orban claims that Tisza is withholding their plans from the public.
  • No major data releases are scheduled for today. Looking ahead to next week, average gross wage data for July makes up what is otherwise an empty local schedule. 

Historical bullets

GBPUSD TECHS: Still Clear of 50-day EMA on Hawkish BoE

Aug-13 07:03
  • RES 4: 1.3681 High Jul 4
  • RES 3: 1.3620 High Jul 10 
  • RES 2: 1.3589 High Jul 24 
  • RES 1: 1.3524 High Aug 12
  • PRICE: 1.3520 @ 08:01 BST Aug 13
  • SUP 1: 1.3144 38.2% retracement of the Jan 13 - Jul 1 bull cycle
  • SUP 2: 1.3041 Low Apr 14
  • SUP 3: 1.3000 Round number support 
  • SUP 4: 1.2945 50.0% retracement of the Jan 13 - Jul 1 bull cycle   

Prices traded higher again Tuesday, further building on the gains posted after the break of the 50-day EMA on the August BoE rate decision. This firms the speed of the recovery off the 1.3142 pullback low and signals a greater probability of a bullish reversal. For now, S/T momentum is still pointed higher, with the Jul 24 high of 1.3589 the next notable upside level. While the bounce off the pullback low persists, the more medium-term trend remains bearish - but the risk of a return to recent lows has fallen. 

EURUSD TECHS: Bullish Daily Candle

Aug-13 07:01
  • RES 4: 1.1851 High Sep 10 2021
  • RES 3: 1.1829 High Jul 01 and the bull trigger 
  • RES 2: 1.1789 High Jul 24 
  • RES 1: 1.1699 High Aug 7
  • PRICE: 1.1692 @ 07:59 BST Aug 13
  • SUP 1: 1.1401 Low Jul 30 and a bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 1.1373 Low Jun 10
  • SUP 3: 1.1313 Low May 30
  • SUP 4: 1.1184 38.2% retracement of the Feb 3 - Jul 1 bull cycle  

EUR/USD edged higher Tuesday and is firm again to start the Wednesday session. Prices are extending gains on the clearance of the post-NFP high - keeping the recovery off the late July pullback low intact. This works against the bearish backdrop that had dominated the pullback from 1.1829. The break of firm resistance into 20-day EMA, now at 1.1624, is signaling greater odds of a further reversal higher. Major support below rests at 1.1373 next, the Jun 10 low. 

MNI: SPAIN JUL HICP -0.3% M/M, +2.7% Y/Y

Aug-13 07:00
  • MNI: SPAIN JUL HICP -0.3% M/M, +2.7% Y/Y